The calm before a potentially stormy period ahead
Through the weekend it will be cold, with below normal temperatures and wind chill through Sunday. Temperatures gradually warm up as the work week starts. A weak clipper slides through the region midweek, which may bring some snow showers over interior areas. A reinforcing shot of cold finishes off the remainder of the work week into the start of next weekend.
While that happens, the Pacific jet stream appears to do a split, with one part assembling a ridge over the western part of the hemisphere, the other part heading into Canada and latching onto cold air. If this comes to fruition, a stormier period may evolve as we head into next weekend.
For now, it is only a signal. It has some merit given the time frame. January 15th marks the official halfway point for meteorological winter. The atmosphere will begin to shift as we head toward spring. I suspect there will be a fair amount of model images being spread around on social media over the weekend about this potential storm. Guidance has not done well beyond 5 days, so while it is a signal, I would caution on cashing it in at the bet window just yet.
It is definitely something to keep in mind given where we are in the season.
Outlook through Wednesday
Yes, those are double-digit below zero lows for the interior Monday night. Shorelines may be the only areas that stay above zero through Monday. The good news is the wind begins to drop on Sunday. There will be plenty of blue bird sky for ski country into early next week.
I am going to take a break this weekend, get caught up on some rest, be a husband and a father, and maybe have a bit of a social life. I suspect I will have plenty of short nights as we head into February, so it's time for me to unplug and recharge a bit.
God bless you all, and thank you!
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Seven year forecaster.