 Clouds are on the increase across the region for the day. Northern areas see the most sun and thus the warmer temperatures, but clouds fill in there in the afternoon. Radar watchers may note reflectivity returns, but it will likely be virga for the morning hours as dry air swallows up any liquid from reaching the ground. As the dew point temperatures rise, the air column becomes more saturated as the afternoon progresses, allowing for the chance of showers to increase heading toward the evening. A southerly wind picks up as high pressure moves to the east, and a warm front approaches from the west. The increase in wind speeds has initiated the Small Craft Advisory, which goes into effect as of noon west of Penobscot Bay and this evening for the DownEast coast. Choppy seas are expected to continue through Sunday.  SATURDAY NIGHT - Rain showers and rumbles are possible overnight. The Weather Prediction Center maintains its idea of an isolated flash flooding risk over the western foothills and mountains as the air column becomes saturated, with precipitable water values hedging upwards of 1½-2” across the region by early evening. This translates to the dewpoints pushing into the 60s for most areas by Sunday morning. Areas of fog are possible with the rise in humidity levels. Expect a southerly breeze to continue overnight, with overnight lows in the mid-50s north to mid-60s south.  SUNDAY – With the warm front moving into the Canadian Maritimes by morning, a humid day is expected region-wide. The Storm Prediction Center has increased concern to level 2 – Slight Risk for severe storms across the entire state. Given the dynamics, sharp nature, and speed of the cold front on track to pass through the region, damaging wind, and localized torrential rainfall potential are the main threats. Hail is a possibility, with a better chance to the north. Guidance is hinting at the potential for strong rotating updraft potential, which introduces the risk of an isolated tornado, which can’t be ruled out. Northern areas may see some isolated showers in the morning. Showers and storms are expected to pop up from noon to 5 PM, with isolated activity possibly through early evening. High temperatures range from the mid-70s north to the upper 80s south, with heat indices pushing into the mid-90s over the southwest interior. A southwest breeze keeps the shorelines cooler. Wind direction flips from the southwest to the northwest as the front passes through. EXTENDED OUTLOOK – A breezy and dry Monday will start the week. High pressure calms the breeze and keeps the region dry through Wednesday, with temperatures gradually warming up. A chance of showers remains possible for the Fourth, but disagreements with guidance that far out continues.  Always have MULTIPLE ways to receive weather alerts. Stay aware, stay on alert, and stay safe. - Mike PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the PTW IN MEDIA page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you. |
Mike Haggett
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