The humid stretch comes to a bumpy ending The first of two cold fronts passed through the region Sunday night with some areas of flash and bang. Slightly drier air has trickled into the region as of early Monday morning. A sharper cold front works into the region Monday afternoon into early Tuesday, bringing widespread dew point relief statewide by Tuesday morning. As that happens, the risk of strong to severe storms is a concern as drier, cooler air funnels in.  The Storm Prediction Center has raised concern for the potential for scattered severe storms south of the mountains to the east to Mount Desert Island. The battle between cooler and dry and warm and humid could pop supercells.  Straight line wind damage and potential for quarter size hail are the main severe storm concerns. Given the amount of spin in the atmosphere, the potential for a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Odds favor a severe thunderstorm watch from the early morning vantage point given the clear start. Temperatures will warm quickly, adding convective fuel, and potential for loud and gnarly storms.  Along with the severe storm concerns comes the flash flooding threat. With the recent rain from the weekend, the ground is saturated in many areas. Tropical downpours associated with storms could bring high rainfall rates and cause a runoff problem. With the timing of the storms in the afternoon and the location of where the threat exists could affect the more populous regions and highways around the time of the evening commute. Ponding on roadways, reduced visibility, urban street flooding, and the rapid rise of brooks, streams and small rivers are all possible.  Monday Noon to Tuesday 6 AM - After a quiet morning, the sharp cold front works into the region in the afternoon. Showers and storms develop heading into the evening. There is the risk for thunder with locally heavy rainfall overnight as the front pushes to the south and east. The chance for showers and storms end in the wee hours of Tuesday. The York County region may deal with an isolated shower or two Tuesday morning.  Outlook for the week The question mark for the week focuses on southern areas as the frontal boundary passing through stalls near southern New England. Disturbances pass along it which may keep clouds and the risk of showers through midweek. Later in the week, the focus will be on where Debby exits. At this point, it does appear to be a potentially wet weekend ahead, but forecast confidence is low. Stay tuned! Do you have my back? Always have MULTIPLE ways to receive weather alerts. Stay aware, stay on alert, and stay safe. - Mike PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the PTW IN MEDIA page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you! NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you. |
Mike Haggett
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