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Monday November 4, 2024

11/4/2024

 
I’ve done some maintenance on the website and will tweak it more during the week. I’ve rearranged page locations on the menu. The Snow/Ice Outlook page has returned. With winter on the way, the popular Weather Wall page will see seasonal changes soon. The underrated Maps page is one to look at. For those in my home region of Kennebunk, that page has been upgraded with more local information. I work hard to make this website a one-stop shop for weather information, saving time flipping around to other pages on other sites and having to sift through ads and clickbait stories. The weather is complicated enough. Finding information should not be that difficult. I am trying to simplify it. 

Overview of how the week unfolds

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A look at the steering level of the atmosphere as of 3 AM Monday indicates the players involved. Moisture riding over the top of the ridge over the eastern half of the country enters the region Monday night in the form of a warm front.  The upper-level high west of Bermuda will flex itself and spin warm air into the area Tuesday into Wednesday. Upper-level lows across the North Pole and northern Canada will put a beat down on the high, spin a weak cold front through the area Wednesday night, and cool things down with zonal flow taking over on Friday, and continuing into early next week. 

Future Rafael is a feature to watch for the Gulf Coast. At this point, it appears doubtful that Maine gets any remnant rainfall from it.

A bit of junk, then a bit of rain

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Monday 1 PM (18z) to Tuesday 7 PM (00z Wednesday)  -  The cool air over the region gets shoved eastward as the warm front approaches, but in typical November fashion, it’s not going to head out without putting up a bit of a fight. A junky mix or light snow is the precipitation of choice to start off over the higher elevations and north at the onset and may hang on in the usual cold pockets before finally being overrun by the above-freezing temperatures moving in at the surface. There could be a few slick spots in the mountains and The County Monday night in the wee hours of Tuesday. By Tuesday morning, any junk going on flips to rain and will end in liquid form from west to east in the morning and the north by Tuesday evening. 
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Precipitation amounts in liquid form show The County getting the benefit of upwards of ½” of needed rainfall, and the higher elevations to the west may cash in on as much, with lesser amounts to the south and east. This is more or less the same outcome the region experienced last Wednesday, with the pattern in a similar form. 

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A breezy, potentially record warm day Wednesday

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As the upper-level ridging passes quickly through the region Wednesday, wind speeds out of the west/southwest pick up with a cold front approaching from the northwest. The breeze could be gusty at times, with most areas in the 20-30 mph range.
 
The cold front moving in will bring clouds, which will determine just how high the thermometer climbs and thus determine if record-high temperatures are realized. Along with those clouds comes the chance for some light rain shower activity for interior areas.
 
The front is expected to move through the area late Wednesday, shifting the wind to the northwest and cooling the region heading into Thursday. 


Temperatures and extended outlook

Strong upper lows to the north will continue to hammer the strong ridge over the east heading into the weekend. Breezy conditions are expected Friday into Saturday, and dry dew point values in the 20s to low 30s bring the risk of wildfire concerns.

No widespread soakers are expected anytime soon. 

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SKYWARN Winter spotter training sessions upcoming

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SKYWARN weather spotters who contribute ground truth observations of impact weather are essential resources for public safety information while storms happen, along with forecast verification. Anytime you turn on the television or stream local, regional, or national stations, many of the observations passed along come from trained SKYWARN weather spotters through the network of local National Weather Service offices.

The cost of participation is free. You do not need special equipment to do this. It is not complicated. All ages can participate, but the young should have an adult on the video call.

These sessions run for about 75 minutes and are filled with information. Soon after the session, you will issued a spotter ID assigned to you that you can use to report your observations

Click here to register for NWS Caribou Area

Click here to register for NWS Gray Area



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​Always have MULTIPLE ways to receive weather alerts. 

Stay aware, stay on alert, and stay safe.

- Mike

PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the PTW IN MEDIA page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you!

​NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

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    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
    Ambassador

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26



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