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Saturday August 31, 2024

8/31/2024

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The forecast ideas and observational trends have improved in their outlook over the past 24 hours. The upper-low over Hudson Bay early Saturday morning is past maturity. As the water vapor image depicts, dry air has worked into the core, and the low is slowly dying. This results in less rainfall as the moisture hose detaches from the low, and the long wave front begins to fizzle out. ​
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SATURDAY: Areas of fog around to start off which may contain pockets of drizzle. This may be stubborn to clear out in some locations as the breezy south/southwest flow pumps moisture into the area. Dew points climb up to a juicy/borderline uncomfortable level, especially along the coast during the day. The best chance for showers is over the interior areas this afternoon, although I can’t rule out an isolated light shower over the coastal plain with the moisture surge.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Shower coverage becomes more widespread heading into the evening. The locally heavy rainfall risk continues, with concerns for the higher elevations due to the upslope wind direction. Overnight thunder is possible. Expect areas of fog and continued breezy conditions. It may be an uncomfortable night to sleep as dew points and actual temperatures will be on the warm end.
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SUNDAY: Any showers from the frontal boundary passage taper off in the morning. Dew point levels remain rather juicy throughout the day. The risk of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm is possible. The trailing front has slowed progress and may not pass through until Sunday night. The result is less in the way of forcing aloft and reduces, but it does not eliminate a strong to severe storm threat later in the day. Western areas have the best chance for a pop-up storm heading toward evening. High temperatures range in the 60s for the MidCoast/DownEast shores and mid to upper 70s elsewhere. The south/southwest breeze continues.
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SUNDAY NIGHT: The trailing front passes through the state in a clipper form, which may bring a shower/storm over the mountains and north overnight and an isolated shower elsewhere. The breezy wind shifts from the southwest to the northwest. As the dry air moves in, dew points fall, and temperatures drop, too. Low temperatures bottom out in the 40s for the mountains and north, with 50s elsewhere.

LABOR DAY MONDAY: Breezy and mostly sunny. High temperatures are in the 60s for western, northern, and eastern areas and 70s for the south.
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EXTENDED OUTLOOK: Cool through Wednesday, warm up into late week, next shower chance over the weekend.

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    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

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    Jenna Gurtz
    Buffalo Grove, IL

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    Trey Austin
    Raleigh, NC

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    East Lansing, MI

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    North Wales, PA

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