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This update is presented by Allspeed Cyclery and Snow, located on Brighton Avenue in Portland, where their Mid-Winter Clearance sale is going on now! Check them out at allspeed.com and thank you for supporting PTW! Bulletins posted, but changes could come A WINTER STORM WARNING and a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY have been posted by NWS Gray. The forecast track has nudged northward, increasing the chance for 6” or more snow in the warning area and 3-7” in the advisory areas. Coastal counties like Sagadahoc, Lincoln, and Knox may receive warnings if the track continues north. As of the time of this post, at around 6 AM, it’s close. THE TIMING of the snowfall remains on track to kick off around midnight over the south and taper to snow showers by early afternoon. Eastern areas have a narrower window, starting around 3-4 AM and tapering to snow showers between noon and 2 PM. The mountains begin around 1-2 AM, and snow showers continue all day and into Sunday night, with another round for Monday.  THIS WILL BE ANOTHER FLUFFERNUTTER. The BUFKIT profile of the NAMNEST, looking specifically at Sanford, which I have anointed to explain the horizontal view of the atmosphere, shows the predicted snow-to-water ratios. It also indicates where snowfall rates could exceed 1”/hour between 4-8 AM Sunday. With little wind, a relatively deep snow growth region, and plenty of cold air, fat flakes rule much of the event. The total liquid involved ranges from a few hundredths of an inch over the far north, a tenth to ¼” for the west, central, and east, to ¼-½+” for Fryeburg to L/A to Rockland and south. The forecast challenge will be the high snow-to-water ratios over the south and dry air to the north, potentially throwing a wrench in limiting snowfall. This is where you find the bust potential on the high and low ends. Some parts of York County may see a foot of fluff. Some areas to the north and east may come in with the under.  SUNDAY MORNING TRAVEL FOR SOUTHERN & MIDCOAST AREAS is likely to be challenging given the cold temperatures, snowfall rates in the 1”+ range into mid-morning, and the icy nature of the snow. Conditions will likely improve in the afternoon, but snow showers may persist. I don’t expect wind to be much of a concern for blowing and drifting until Monday. The Wall is always there for you with the latest... PTW continues with your support! Always have MULTIPLE ways to receive weather alerts. Stay aware, stay on alert, and stay safe. - Mike PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the PTW IN MEDIA page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you! NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you. |
Mike Haggett
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