Quick thoughts Checking in after a whirlwind week. Staff shortages at work, along with our dog having gastro issues, took me out of two morning updates. Life happens. I'm just glad it's quiet right now. An upper low swings overhead and won't venture too far as a massive ridge over the Atlantic extends to near the North Pole. The result will be slightly cooler than normal temperatures on the high end, and near normal on the low end. With the cold pool aloft noted in the 5:30 AM update, Mount Washington's observed temperature of 21°, and heating of the day, clouds will form, with a rain shower/sprinkle possible primarily in the mountains (snow showers on the taller peaks) and a slight chance elsewhere. This idea repeats on Sunday. As the upper low moves to the east, disturbances along its periphery may produce showers over DownEast areas on Monday. ABOUT STORM POTENTIAL AROUND HALLOWEEN: There is a lot of uncertainty with this one. There is a fair chance for some rain, perhaps wind, and, depending on what happens, shoreline impacts. I don't trust the operational model ideas, and the ensemble ideas, while a bit more consistent, vary enough to warrant a caution flag. There are several wrenches turning on this one: timing of phasing of the northern and Pacific jet streams, and an upper low that is expected to form and track to the south, and then there is Melissa that will blast Jamaica, and then we'll see what happens as that storm launches like a cannonball into the Atlantic. Beware of the science fiction being spread around on social media. As badly as we need rain here, keep your optimism heavily guarded. Updates will come. PHOTO: This is from the Bold Coast Trail in Cutler from the trip I took back in September. The region is stunning and is one of my personal favorites. Ski swap is today at Allspeed! The PTW Weather Wall updates 24/7 Your financial support keeps the lighthouse lit |
Mike Haggett
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