One more day of surf with a few more clouds Last evening, I took a walk around the neighborhood with my lovely wife and our dog and spoke with folks who were outside in the yards or on the porches. They each summed up the weather with one phrase: "It's perfect." It will be on repeat again today. Albeit slightly cooler with the breeze picking up a bit earlier, it's tough to beat this. Low humidity, comfortable temps, wind to keep the bugs away... this is why I live here. The sobering reality is that most of the state is under VERY HIGH risk for wildfires, and the breeze enhances the threat given the drought. The ocean continues to deal with the effects of Erin, even with the storm long gone at this point. Surf, swells, and rips continue for one more day. While Fernand has blossomed east of Bermuda, given how weak the storm is and how far away it is, I don't see any shoreline issues from that in the longer term.  Sunday 10 AM to Monday Midnight - The cold front moving in continues to drag its heels, given the atmospheric traffic jam to the east. Showers with a potential rumble are possible along the Quebec border region. That area will see clouds increase with a better chance for a shower in the evening. Showers with a chance for thunder on Monday Monday Midnight to Tuesday Midnight - As the cold front crawls its way into the state, low pressure rides along a stationary front offshore, which slows down its passage. Guidance has waffled like a politician on potential rainfall for DownEast areas, which have the best chance of receiving ¼" or more of rainfall anywhere along the coast. With the slug of moisture held offshore, the frontal boundary may dry out with the wedge between the two. While this model idea may be helpful for potential timing, I am skeptical (as I have been over the past few days) of what rain may come from it.  Of all the precipitation options I have seen, the more conservative approach continues to hold its ground. As dry as the region is, it promotes dryness in the atmosphere. This rainfall idea epitomizes the state of the drought at this point. Outside of a localized heavy shower south and east of the mountains, it's hard to expect much out of this. Some areas will miss showers altogether. This may be the last chance for many to receive rainfall until well into September.  Temperatures and outlook through SaturdayAn upper-level trough moves in on Tuesday and more or less sits over the region for several days. Expect breezy conditions as weak waves pass through. Elevation showers are possible midweek. The wildfire threat continues, and a smoky haze is possible later in the week. Labor Day weekend appears decent, but on the cool side.  The PTW Weather Wall updates 24/7 Your financial support keeps the lighthouse lit |
Mike Haggett
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