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Thursday August 21, 2025

8/21/2025

 

Tranquil for interior areas, waves for the coast begin to crank

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Temperatures begin to warm after a couple of cool days. For hiking, lake/river fishing, or golfing, you can't beat this day. Fire danger levels remain high and will until the next rain chance early next week. The main concern weatherwise will be for the shorelines through the weekend. The sea breeze will pick up around the tide flip or soon after. The ocean is going to get rough, and it will continue to get rougher through Friday before the swells slowly recede over the weekend. 
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This satellite image with surface analysis by the Ocean Prediction Center from 8 PM Wednesday shows Erin due south and splitting the outer banks of North Carolina and Bermuda like an Adam Vinatieri field goal. This was huge bullet to dodge. 
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The stationary front to the south, which brought rain and some reports of flooding over the Mid-Atlantic, picks up Erin, and the storm heads for the North Atlantic. High pressure over the region makes sure it stays away.  The system will continue to expand its windfield as it gains in latitude.

​The islands off the Southern New England coast could see tropical storm-force gusts and waves of upwards of 20 feet. A coastal flood advisory is in place along the south shore. With the new moon on Saturday, the high tide continues to rise.

For the Maine coast, a coastal flood advisory is likely to come between the astronomical conditions, storm surge of 1-2 feet, and waves in the 7-12 foot range with the Friday evening high tide in the 11 PM hour.  


Enjoy the waves from a safe distance and stay out of the water. 

Rain potential to start next week

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Confidence has increased of the likelihood of a widespread rain event late Sunday that may linger in Tuesday. Where confidence remains inconsistent is how much liquid gold will fall with it. Chances are high that it won't be a drought buster, but may knock down the wildfire threat, at least temporarily. The north and mountains are likely to see the most rainfall at this vantage point. We'll see if this is a tease or if there is some validity to it. The habit of juicy ideas in the long term fizzling out in the near term has been a consistent thing all summer. 

Stay tuned. 


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Stay aware, stay on alert, and stay safe.
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- Mike

PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the PTW IN MEDIA page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you!

​NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

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    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
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    Penn State '21

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