Today's update is presented by Crowe’s Restoration of Arundel. For emergency fire & water damage (pipe bursts), mold, or biohazard issues in western and southern Maine, call them at 207-467-3152. Thank you for the support of PTW! Back to the ice boxThe high temperatures for Tuesday come early in the day and will fall as the day goes on. The northwest wind is going to crank up and it will feel much cooler in time for the evening commute. The stiff breeze of the day slowly diminishes overnight heading into Wednesday. Areas protected from the northwest wind are very likely to see a below zero start. Those that aren't appear to have wind chill below zero. Another cold day is on the table for Wednesday. The wind continues to settle through the day as high pressure moves in. The cold sets the table for the next storm on the way for Thursday. Inside runner to bring snow to start on ThursdayThursday 7 AM (12z) to Friday 7 AM (12z) - A warm front moves in from the southwest Thursday morning. It appears the region starts off dry for the morning commute, with snow beginning over southwestern areas by mid-morning. Snow expands to the north and east through early afternoon, with the evening commute likely to be a slick one. As the storm heads out, precipitation tapers off from southwest to northeast Thursday evening. Snow showers are likely for the Quebec border region and the north to start the day on Friday. For most areas, this will be an all snow event. Areas south of the foothills may get a touch of ice and the coast a bit of rain as a parting gift. As the warm front passes through, temperatures are expected to rise which will compact the fresh snow, and make the consistency wetter to the south and east of the mountains. There is still some play with timing and track. I can't rule out a weak coastal low forming which may throw a bit of wrench in the outcome from Fryeburg to Bangor to Calais south. There are signals for overperformance for York County if the low does form, as well as underperformance if the warm front comes in a bit weaker and less juicy. For now, 3-6" is a good reference point, with revision possible. A cold front passes through the region Thursday night and the northwest wind will pick up as the storm departs. It would be wise to get the snow cleaned up before it turns to cement overnight. Quick thoughts on Saturday night into SundayThe ideas for storm track on this one are similar to that of Thursday, but with the parent low working through upstate New York, that changes the dynamics a bit. The timing of the developing ocean low is likely to be key, and with ideas north of the benchmark "B" that brings the threat of junk and/or rain into the discussion. This one could be a bit juicier than Thursday's storm and bring an inch or two more of snow than what is received from that event. The cold will be locked in and snow is likely to start. Timing at this point indicates Sunday morning is likely to be slick to start, with precipitation tapering off from west to east through midday/early afternoon. We'll see. Ten-day temperature outlookAfter the storm passes Sunday, below normal cold settles back in for next week. Ideas are out there for another storm in the Wednesday/Thursday timeframe to keep watch for. The Wall is the place for observations and updates 24/7Please help keep the coffee pot funded...Always have MULTIPLE ways to receive weather alerts. Stay aware, stay on alert, and stay safe. - Mike PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the PTW IN MEDIA page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you! NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you. |
Mike Haggett
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