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Tuesday March 18, 2025

3/18/2025

 
Today's update is presented by Crowe’s Restoration of Arundel. For emergency fire & water damage (flooding), mold, or biohazard issues in western and southern Maine, call them at 207-467-3152.

Active pattern continues

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THE PATTERN IS PROGRESSIVE overall through the rest of the week. The main concern is ICE JAM FLOODING as the spring melt continues until further notice. The blessing in disguise here is most of the state is currently in MODERATE DROUGHT. With the water tables lower than average, that takes the edge off of widespread flooding and keeps the threat localized. While the ponding of the recent rain and melting currently exists on the topsoil, once the frost comes out, the ground will absorb the moisture, but it may take some time and will keep mud season going into the foreseeable future. 

TUESDAY: Precipitation will be slow in departure DownEast and could feature light snow and pockets of freezing rain over interior Washington County before flipping to rain by mid-morning. With the frontal boundary running up through the Bay of Fundy moving at a snail's pace, it could be the afternoon before showers taper off. A mix of low and high clouds will dim the sun throughout the day. A breezy northwest wind gusting in the 20-25 mph range outside the areas shaded by the taller hills persists through the afternoon before settling in the evening as high pressure moves in. A coastal sea breeze may develop later in the day as the wind drops. High temperatures range from the 40s north to the 50s south.

TUESDAY NIGHT: The sky begins to clear out after sunset, but there could be a few high clouds to the north, with some low-level clouds along the coastal plain as a weak ridge passes through. Any late-day breeze drops, setting up radiational cooling in areas. Low temperatures fall to the teens over the north, in the 20s for most areas, and in the low 30s along the south shorelines. 

WEDNESDAY: High pressure passes through the region in the morning and becomes positioned to the northeast over New Brunswick by the afternoon. That sets up an onshore flow out of the E/SE, which could bring a chilly sea breeze to the coast by early afternoon and may work its way into the coastal interior later in the day. The moisture drawing in off the water brings the risk of fog developing toward evening. High temperatures range from the mid-40s north to mid-50s over the southwest interior. Coastal areas may struggle to reach 50°.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY: Expect fog to work its way inland and could be locally dense, and bring areas of patchy drizzle in spots for the morning commute. As high pressure heads to the northeast, the fog begins to burn off from southwest to northeast Thursday morning but could hold stubborn over the Passamaquoddy Bay region into midday. More sun to the north and mountains, more clouds to the south and east, with the chance for light rain showers in the afternoon. Low temperatures to start Thursday appear to be in the 30s for most areas, with high temperatures in the mid-40s to mid-50s, with the coast on the cool side with the southeast onshore flow. 

NEXT STORM FRIDAY: Unsurprisingly, operational ideas are a jumbled mess, but ensemble ideas are consistent with the idea of 1-3" of snow for the mountains and north and ½"+ of rain for the south and east, which may end as snow showers later in the day. Wind out of the northwest appears to crank in the mountains as the secondary low amps up over the Gulf of Maine in the afternoon, which may bring isolated power outages as gusts may exceed 40 mph. Expect fine-tuning on this event. 

THE WEEKEND brings a risk of snow and rain showers for the mountains and north on Saturday and a chance of snow showers for the north on Sunday. 

LOOKING AHEAD INTO NEXT WEEK:
The pattern appears unsettled, with a potential wind threat from Tuesday into Wednesday as an ocean storm cranks to our east. Stay tuned! 

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- Mike

PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the PTW IN MEDIA page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you!

​NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

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    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
    Ambassador

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

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    Matthew 19:26



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