 WEDNESDAY: One more day of heat and strong to severe storm potential. A few morning showers over the north pass through. The cloud cover breaks up, and the heat cranks. An outflow wave ahead of a cold front will arrive in the afternoon. Unlike the last couple of days, where the shower and storm threats came later, this one will be on top of us, beginning in the early afternoon over the mountains and north, then drifting to the south as the afternoon progresses into the evening.  THE THREAT FOR STORMS APPEAR ISOLATED but could pack a punch in the form of training and back-building cells that could bring a power wash and damaging wind. The model idea of the 06z (2 AM) HRRR supplied here for entertainment purposes only shows the streaking. Areas of repeat rainfall are possible as storms ride along the ascending wave. Precipitable water values in the air column could reach tropical steambath status at around 2” in places, which means damaging downdraft wind potential in addition to torrential rainfall when the sky unloads.  AS I MENTIONED ON TUESDAY not everyone will see rainfall here. The hit-or-miss parade continues.
THURSDAY: A cold front is on track to pass through the state and push the humid air out. Scattered showers with chance rumbles are possible. The mountains and north will see dew points drop in the afternoon, with the coastal plain seeing relief move in late afternoon into overnight. By Friday morning, comfortable status will be achieved everywhere. THE WEEKEND: Friday looks great. Showers and storms are possible on Saturday for the north and east as a weak wave passes through, with drier and warm conditions. Some areas may get to 90°, and it may be a touch humid, but nothing like what we’ve experienced this week. Sunday will be the best of the weekend as even drier air moves in, with temperatures a bit warm. NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN appears Tuesday/Wednesday, and may just be hit or miss showers. Stay aware, stay on alert, and stay safe. - Mike |
Mike Haggett
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