Slightly amped up atmospheric trash passing through The headline should tell you that I am not overly impressed with this one. This image from 4 AM Wednesday morning shows a well occluded (weakening) upper-low, indicated by the dry slot that is easy to see in the core and the broad nature of the atmospheric heights. We'll take the rain, what amount we get out of it, and move on.  Wednesday 6 AM to Thursday 2 AM - The frontal boundary associated with the system progresses quickly through the region. Quick hits of moderate to heavy rain are possible, along with a rumble of thunder, through the morning. Showers become widely scattered in the afternoon, heading into the evening, and there is a slight risk of thunder with those as well.  Given the dynamics, potluck amounts are what it is. Some areas may pick up an inch or more, other areas won't get much at all. With the southerly wind flow, wind gusts from 10-25 are possible for the interior and upwards of 30 mph along the shorelines and taller hills. As the upper-low heads northeast on Thursday, the Quebec border region have the best chance of a shower, and it will be another breezy day out of the southwest. Rooms with offseason rates are available for the weekend, and the sauna is open! Sweet Melissa That classic Allman Brothers tune came to mind when NHC gave the storm its name Tuesday afternoon. It will be a slow mover as it heads for Jamaica into the weekend, and then we'll see what condition the storm will be and where it goes after that. Be aware of social media hype as operational ideas are fun with this one. I will say if the storm survives beyond Cuba/Hispaniola that it may get interesting. A strong trough is expected to plunge into the region next week, and if the system remains intact and tracks near Bermuda, that increases the chance for interaction that may bring us rainfall. It's all fools gold at this point, and we'll see what happens. Outlook and temperatures through early next week I am not seeing a day where the region doesn't see a chance for a shower or two in the mid-range. Weak waves passing around a trough that is trailing the Wednesday system continue an unsettled pattern. Snow showers are possible for the taller hills. There is model noise out there for a chance for something later next week. Stay tuned!  The PTW Weather Wall updates 24/7 Your financial support keeps the lighthouse lit |
Mike Haggett
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