Big Wind, Big Recovery
Impressive wind speeds posted by NWS Gray and NWS Caribou offices. I had an idea that Matinicus Rock in Penobscot Bay would likely come in with the highest gust below Mount Washington, and it certainly did not let me down. Outside the 92 mph reading there, Isle of Shoals offshore of Kittery/Portsmouth clocked an 82 mph gust. A couple of isolated 70 mph readings were recorded on land in Augusta and South Bristol). Quite a few areas hit the 50-69 mph level, with Portland recording the latter number. The southeast wind is no friend to Maine and the Northeast. This storm will be talked about for many years to come.
The recovery effort is continuing. Central Maine Power has restored power to more than 100,000 . Emera Maine is making progress in eastern and northern areas, and posted a timeline to when people can expect to be back online. At the time of this post, 331,308 electricity customers were still in the dark. Both utilities think it will be Saturday into early next week before most are back online, and for some in remote areas or on short lines, it could take 2-3 weeks.
Weather Outlook Through Early Next Week
High pressure has nosed its way into the northeast, which will help with the recovery efforts. Wind will drop down to light at best for Wednesday. With the big gains made by the electric companies on Tuesday, there is hope the outage number declines by another solid level by Wednesday night.
High temperatures for Wednesday are right where they should be for this time of the year. High pressure provides a mainly sunny sky, and little breeze.
The pattern becomes unsettled for Thursday into Friday, which may hamper restoration a bit. Showers are in the forecast for both days, and temperatures rise 10-15 degrees above normal again. After a cold front passes through, a northwest breeze picks up that will continue into Saturday morning. High pressure moves in briefly before another frontal boundary approaches Sunday.
The GFS model shown here is an outlier for now, but the Euro model trended cooler in the 12z suite Tuesday afternoon in regards to Sunday. I am certainly not saying that plows and shovels will be needed just yet. I will say there is chance for some light snow changing to rain for the mountains and north Sunday. Showers appear to linger into Monday. Once the cold front passes through Monday night, early morning flurries are possible Tuesday for the north country, and a stray rain shower for southern and eastern areas. It is the season.
I will update on this.
A special thank you for all of the shares and recent reviews for those who follow on Facebook. I am reminded as to why I started this entity with Western Maine Weather years ago. Folks in the rural areas need a voice in weather in this state as often times it's always the more populated areas that get the best coverage. I will not forget you, whether you are in Rangeley, Stratton, Greenville, Clayton Lake or whatever small town you live in. You have my word.
Check the 7-Day Outlook page for the forecast.
At the time of this post, 480,442 electricity customers are without power across the state. Those affected are looking for answers as to when they will get it back. Given the historic level of outages, it is likely to take days for service to be restored. Most of New England has been severely crippled by this impressive storm.
As of early afternoon on Monday, the storm was located over west central Quebec province and heading toward Hudson Bay. A trailing cold front will work through the state in the afternoon, which may bring a few showers, wind gusts in the 40-50 mph range and cold air into evening.
Wind gust levels are on track to drop by mid-evening Monday night over much of the state. It will still be rather breezy, however, which may make the recovery effort difficult in parts of the region, more notably the shorelines, mountains and north.
With the cold air and the wind, comes the wind chill. Tuesday morning is likely to feature a bit of a snap in the air.
Outside of a chance of a sprinkle or a light brief shower or snow flurry in the northern extremes of the mountains and crown, it will be dry day overall. High pressure over the Midwest will start to nose its way into the region, and that will keep the breeze going.
A southwest wind flow could bring gusts in the 20-30 mph range at times during the day.
High temperatures for the day range in the 40s to low 50s north, and the 50s for the south and east. It may feel a bit on the chilly side due to the breeze. These temperatures are close to the seasonal average, which may feel a bit odd given the abnormally warm fall.
By Wednesday morning, the breeze will finally slack off. A weak frontal boundary riding along the St. Lawrence River may bring a sprinkle or a snowflake along the Quebec border early. It should be a mainly sunny day with highs in the 40s north and mountains and 50s south and east.
A disturbance to the south appears to merge with low pressure over the Canadian Rockies that will bring a chance for showers Thursday into Friday.
The complete 7-Day Outlook with a peek at the weekend is posted in that section of the website.
It has been a rough night for much of the area. High wind has caused several thousand to lose power over the western half of the state. The eastern half of Maine is fairing better, but there is a way to go yet.
The bufkit profile for Portland indicates the high wind ending between 8-9 AM. Gusty winds will prevail over western areas through tonight.
For eastern Maine, it will be late morning before the high wind threat tapers. This region also will see gusty winds continue well into the evening.
The result is that for those without power, it may take a while for restoration.
The core of the storm is tracking into Western Quebec and headed for the Hudson Bay area. A cold front will track through Maine later this morning. Behind the front, drier, cooler air will work into the area.
Seven year forecaster.