April Fools storm may raise flooding concerns
All is quiet here until the later part of the week as a cold front passes through Thursday night into early Friday with a few showers. A warm front pushes north on Saturday, which may bring a chance for daytime showers in areas. A stronger cold front moves through the region in the Sunday / Monday time frame, which raises the concern once again for river flooding potential from melting and runoff.
It's too early to tell just how much rain will come from this event, but with the surge of warmer air coming in from the southwest, the potential is there for a juicy event of an inch or more.
The parting cold front may bring some snow showers for the mountains and north on the back side on April Fools Day.
Look at these blended multi-model ideas with a bit of a grain of salt on specifics, but the trend here is for temperatures to climb out of the basement for the north country, with below freezing nights. This helps tame the melting of the snow pack somewhat, which may ease the flood threat through the first week of April.
Even further south, the region will have a few nights above freezing before falling back below starting with April 1st. I am still thinking some areas of southern York County may reach 60° Friday and Saturday before cooling off into next week.
Regional outlook through Sunday
Saturday morning may start off with a wintry mix in the far north, but will likely turn to rain late morning. Again, it will be important to keep track of the projected rainfall amounts in regards to flood potential. Those details will come into focus later this week.
► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine.
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Eight year forecaster.