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A couple chances for frost to start the week

5/31/2020

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Monday a cool one

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Folks away from the shoreline are advised to cover their plants tonight as the risk of frost is possible. A freeze warning is in effect for far northwestern areas. A frost advisory is posted for the western mountains, foothills eastward into northern Washington counties. If your area is well protected and susceptible to frost, it would be wise to cover up.
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NAM simulated radar forecast from 5 AM to 8 PM Monday
The day itself features a weak shortwave passing through western and southern areas, which may touch off a light shower or sprinkle, but most likely will not provide any measurable rainfall.

Northern and eastern areas may get varying amounts of clouds, but not much else from the sky.
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A northwest breeze associated with the shortwave will increase during the day and peak out in the afternoon. With dew points in the 20s, this sets up potential for wildfires due to the dry conditions. Check with your local FD or the Maine Forestry Service for guidance before burning. Use caution with any flame or flammable material. 

Temperatures rebound Tuesday, shower chance

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With the wind tapering Monday night, this sets up another frost threat for the north and mountains as the last of this cool shot moves to the northeast. For those in the interior, it would be wise to cover up the gardens once again.
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NAM forecast radar idea from 8 AM to 8 PM Tuesday
Another shortwave  advances toward the region Tuesday afternoon and may bring a light shower or sprinkle to western and southern areas by mid-evening. 
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With more of a southwest flow associated with a weak shortwave passing through the region, temperatures climb up to seasonal average.

The thermometer appears to gradually increase through the end of the week, with widespread 70s and a few 80s possible by Saturday.

No real rain is sight for now

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European ensemble forecast idea from 8 AM Wednesday to 8 PM Saturday
The forecast trend at this point is that of a zonal one, which may bring a shower/sprinkle chance here or there, but not a good soaker that the area could use right now. If there is any hope at all for rain, the Gulf of Mexico may be source, and for now, that is a remote idea. Guidance is all over the place as to what happens there. If tropical trouble does form, time will tell if moisture associated with it gets tapped into and brought northeast. 

For now, expect to water your gardens without much help from Mother Nature at least through the week, perhaps longer. 

Over 500 wildfires in Maine already this spring

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► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine.

For more information, please follow Pine Tree Weather on Facebook and Twitter. 

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Stay on alert, stay updated, and stay safe!

​- Mike

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    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

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