Saturday starts off cool as high pressure dominates the start of the weekend. A bit chilly to start off, with potential for some patchy frost and some fog around the lakes and rivers, which should dissipate by mid-morning. A blue bird sky day is on tap, with temperatures a bit warmer than Friday as the high passes offshore and sets up a southwest flow. The shorelines, mountains and north may get a bit of a breeze in the afternoon.
Expect another cool start to Sunday with clear skies and the risk of frost and fog over the interior once again. High clouds from an approaching ridge from the west are expected for the mountains and north. Closer to the coast, mid-level clouds are expected to increase from an approaching warm front from the south. The day stays dry, and temperatures nudge up a bit more.
Shower chances for Monday
Sunday 2 PM to Tuesday 8 PM - A warm front associated with an elongated area of low pressure offshore works its way in the state, bringing the chance for showers for the coast Monday morning. The position and strength of the high to the northeast dictates how far inland rain is expected. The mountains and north may escape with little or nothing, but the better chance is for the shorelines. Humid for October conditions are expected along the coast as tropical moisture streams in from the south which will raise dew points into the 50s. In combination of that along with east / southeast breeze off the ocean it may feel cool and clammy along the coastal plain.
High pressure to the southeast over the Atlantic moves northward on Tuesday and may bring a light shower or sprinkle to the area as it bumps moisture inland, pending once again on the position and strength of it.
As of Friday afternoon, it does not appear to be a soaker storm, but the coast is likely to see higher amounts of rainfall. The position of the high to the northeast and its influence will dictate how far inland the rain goes, and just how much the coast will receive.
High pressure over the Atlantic moves east Tuesday night and sets up a southwest flow and low pressure offshore may bring showers to the coast. A trough approaching from the north with low pressure along it may bring showers for the north and perhaps the mountains. With ensemble ideas scattered, confidence for Wednesday and for the rest of the week is low confidence for now.
Temperatures could run 10-20° above normal by midweek.
Forecast through Wednesday
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