A dry start to the week; severe storm potential Wednesday

A fair late summer day

Any early morning showers around to start Monday clear out by mid-morning. A stalled frontal boundary over southern New England drops south, which clears the sky out. High pressure moves in and brings dry air and breezy conditions to the region through this afternoon. 

Any clouds around dissipate after sunset, bringing a clear, cool night ahead. 

Tuesday looks like another pleasant day, a bit cooler than Monday with highs topping out in the 60s for most. Clouds increase in the afternoon as high-pressure slides east and a warm front approaches the region from the southwest. A southerly breeze develops in the afternoon, keeping the shorelines on the cool side. 

Showers Tuesday night,
severe weather possible in areas for Wednesday

Tuesday night a warm front moves in from the southwest and may bring scattered showers in areas along with it and increases dew point temperatures over southern areas Tuesday night, and to the rest of the state on Wednesday. Showers and the threat for storms increase Wednesday afternoon as a cold front approaches from the northwest.

The Storm Prediction Center's Day 3 outlook indicates a slight risk for severe storms for southern, western and eastern areas of the state.  Potential for downpours, frequent lightning, damaging wind, hail and an isolated tornado exists through Wednesday afternoon.

The forecast idea for convective available potential energy shows enough juice for severe storms for southwestern areas. It is important to note that the amount of sun Wednesday is likely to be an indicator of how much of a severe weather threat is generated. The more sun, the greater the potential; more clouds, the better the chance for a bust. 

Conservative estimates of total rain from the event shows roughly ¼-¾" possible across much of the region, with higher amounts likely in thunderstorms. 

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​Understanding Severe Weather Outlooks

Do you know the risk categories for severe weather? Learn the severe weather outlooks issued by the Storm Prediction Center spc.noaa.gov

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Outlook & temperatures through Saturday

High pressure to the north keeps the state dry for Thursday. Friday and Saturday are a bit of a toss-up at this point pending on remnant of tropical storm Nicholas along with another tropical wave moving northeast late week. Safe to say there is a chance for rain to end the week, and to start the weekend. Updates on that to come. 

After a cool Tuesday, above normal temperatures are likely to be the rule from Wednesday onward into the weekend. 

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Be prepared to receive alerts and stay updated!

​​BE PREPARED WITH A NOAA Weather Radio.
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​For $20-$40, it could provide vital information to you when you need it. The weather bands are standard on most public safety scanners, and newer scanner models. Weather radios can be programmed for auto alert. Click here for more information.

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​► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins, and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine.

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Stay updated, stay on alert, and stay safe!

​- Mike