Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • MAPS
  • BRIEFINGS
  • SATRAD
  • MARINE
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SNOW / ICE OUTLOOK
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • Weather Geekdom
  • Who We Are
  • DONATE
  • My Photography
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • MAPS
  • BRIEFINGS
  • SATRAD
  • MARINE
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SNOW / ICE OUTLOOK
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • Weather Geekdom
  • Who We Are
  • DONATE
  • My Photography

A messy Tuesday to bring snow, ice, potential flooding

1/23/2018

Comments

 

A nasty day

Picture
All four food groups from the precipitation buffet line are on tap for the state for Tuesday. Winter storm warnings are posted for the Crown, winter weather advisories are on tap for rest of the state. Wind advisories are posted for Knox, coastal Waldo, coastal Hancock and coastal Washington counties.

Precipitation type will be all dependent upon what goes on in the atmosphere, along with temperature at the surface. Heavier precipitation arrives this afternoon. Most areas are likely to change to plain rain, with the possible exception of the tip of Aroostook. Most areas are expected to see freezing rain / drizzle, with some sleet mixed in.  Areas of both freezing fog and mild fog are possible. 

This is a complicated and complex forecast.

Heavy snow for northern areas

Picture
National Weather Service estimates of snowfall for the region through early Thursday show Aroostook County get crowned, literally, with as much as a foot of snow or more along the international border. This total also includes backside snow showers with the arrival of a cold front early Wednesday, which brings snow to the western mountains through the morning.

Ice on tap for most of the state

Picture
With the possible exception of DownEast coastal areas, all areas of the state will get ice accretion from freezing rain. The most accretion is likely to come from freezing drizzle and fog ahead of the heavier rain moving in through the morning into the afternoon.

A windy afternoon for much of the coast

Picture
As the warm air gains the upper hand, wind will come along with it. Southerly winds gusting in the 40-50 mph range are possible, with the stronger gusts for the Penobscot Bay region eastward to into the Bay of Fundy. By the time the wind arrives, warmer temperatures arrive and will melt off any ice. Spotty power outages are possible, but I do not expect any widespread issues.

Flood potential from ice jams a real concern

Picture
Estimates from the Weather Prediction Center indicate a 1-2" total precipitation outlook for this storm. Ice jams already in place from last week's warm up could see more another ice jam build up on what already exists. Eastern Maine is especially concerning for this event given the higher precipitation and warmer temperatures. Urban street flooding, hydroplaning on highways and byways are likely with the heavier showers in the afternoon into the evening. 

Temperature roller coaster ride

Picture
Models have captured the idea of cold air damming very well over southwestern areas. That said, it may hang on a bit longer than what is suggested. High temperatures for Wednesday are likely to be set around midnight. As the cold front passes through the area in the morning, temperatures crash to the teens for most areas by Wednesday evening.  This will freeze up any liquid that is around, and could cause patchy ice to form where it pools up. 

For those traveling, allow for plenty of extra time and drive carefully.

​- Mike 
Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Penn State
    Weather Forecast Certification '21.
    AMS / NWA
    Weather-Ready Nation 
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Picture

    Alex Hatfield
    Wakefield,MA


    Penn State
    Meteorology and Atmospheric Science ‘21
    PSUBAMS
    Campus Weather Service
    PSU Storm Chase Team
    PSU College of Earth &  Mineral Sciences Ambassador

    Picture

    Kaitlyn Lardeo
    ​Syracuse, NY

    SUNY Oswego
    Atmospheric Science
    Lake Effect Storm Prediction and Research Center
    Northeastern Storm Conference Contributor

    DONATE
    Picture

    Archives

    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

    Categories

    All
    Maine Weather
    Pine Tree Weather

    RSS Feed

Proudly powered by Weebly