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Active pattern turns colder as the week evolves

11/4/2019

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Get ready for winter

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For those still without power from the previous storm, hang in there. The weather conditions continue to be favorable for restoration efforts. This is the week to finish up outdoor clean up projects, get snow tires put on, stock up on emergency supplies and other storm related necessities. The pattern continues to be fairly active, and with the cold working its way into the area, the threats for snow will be in the forecast as winter continues to roll in,

After a quiet Monday,
​shower activity returns for Tuesday

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A few snow showers may fire up in the mountains Monday night into early Tuesday as a warm front races in from the southwest. With the rise in temperature, any light snow changes to rain as the storm passes through during the warm point of the day. Rain may be a bit heavier for MidCoast and DownEast areas as low pressure begins to form along the front. Rain showers end by Tuesday evening, and a few light snow showers on the back side are possible for the mountains and north Tuesday night.

Colder air works in behind the front, and begins to set the table for the rest of the week.

Another cold front for Thursday

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Another reinforcing shot of cold air works into the state on Thursday, This moisture starved boundary may touch off some snow showers for the north and mountains. At this point, accumulations appear light.

With the deeper cold coming in behind the front, this sets up the potential for snow to end the week.

50/50 chance for snow Friday

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This forecast will be a challenge, and will likely remain uncertain until Wednesday. The question is if energy from the west can make it eastward in time to join upper level energy from the north and spin up a coastal low. Guidance will likely flip-flop on ideas until the event until midweek once it can begin to solve where the split-flow of energy comes together.
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It's all a timing game at this point. If the right ingredients come together at the right time, snow shovels, brooms and perhaps plows will be necessary to deal with this one. I think there is a solid case the cold air will be in place for this. Whether or not everything else comes together to make frozen precipitation come is yet to be seen.

​Stay tuned!

Saturday to feel like December

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Regardless if shovels are required for Friday, Saturday just looks cold. This is "apparent temperature from the European model which also factors in wind chill. 

Now that all of this has your attention, there is another potential snow/mix storm possible to wrap up the weekend. 

Get your snow tires on!

► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine.

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Always stay weather aware!

​- Mike

Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Penn State
    Weather Forecast Certification '21.
    AMS / NWA
    Weather-Ready Nation 
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

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    Alex Hatfield
    Wakefield,MA


    Penn State
    Meteorology and Atmospheric Science ‘21
    PSUBAMS
    Campus Weather Service
    PSU Storm Chase Team
    PSU College of Earth &  Mineral Sciences Ambassador

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    Kaitlyn Lardeo
    ​Syracuse, NY

    SUNY Oswego
    Atmospheric Science
    Lake Effect Storm Prediction and Research Center
    Northeastern Storm Conference Contributor

    DONATE
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