Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI

Another mixed bag of precipitation Tuesday; bitter cold Wednesday; storm to end the week

11/12/2018

Comments

 

Another messy day

Picture
Not a whole lot of changes the forecast as I posted here last evening. Storm is on track to be a messy one and will have impacts for those traveling away from the coast. 
Picture
The bulletins from the Gray and Caribou weather offices have been adjusted a bit. A Winter Storm Warning in the western mountains and a Winter Weather Advisory for the foothills and the roof top. Stay tuned with your regional office in case there are adjustments made, which could happen.

Messy morning and evening commutes

Picture
The main concern for sloppy travel for western and southern areas will be through the morning commute and improvements should come by the evening drive. Northern and eastern areas are likely to see conditions get worse as the day progresses, and will have to deal with it in the evening.
Picture
My thoughts on snow amounts haven't changed. Higher elevations get the higher amounts. It will be a sloppy wet mess that is going to freeze up tight by Wednesday morning.

Flash freeze concerns overnight into Wednesday

Picture
Near surface temperature GIF loop from the NAM model focused on 9 PM Tuesday to 7 AM Wednesday shows the temperatures plummet like a rock overnight. This will likely cause black ice on roads statewide as we head into the Wednesday morning commute. Use caution as you head out, no matter where you are, especially you early birds that hit the road before the main rush. 

​Expect sidewalks and parking lots to be skating rinks until treated. 

Flying Frozen Trash Can Alert For Wednesday

Picture
The wind forecast is teetering on what the National Weather Service uses for Wind Advisory, so I will get out ahead of this and call for a Flying Trash Can Alert and it is going to be a frozen one. The wind chill will feel like January. Bundle up. 

Friday looking snowy for the state

Picture
With the arctic blast entering the region on Wednesday, the cold will be in place for a statewide snow event for Friday. Whether that stays all snow is a subject for debate along the coast as the track hasn't been ironed out yet. One thing that was noticeable to me today was the southeasterly shift in ensemble ideas, which fits dynamics. Interior areas could get a decent snowfall out of this. I am still going with a mix for the coast for now, but the idea of this being all snow for the region won't take much more convincing if the track moves 75 miles south. Yeah, it's that close. 

Regional Outlook through Saturday

Picture
Below normal cold will be with us for the foreseeable future through at least the first half of the Thanksgiving holiday. A weak clipper system may bring a mixed bag Saturday night into Sunday. 

Stay tuned for forecast revisions through the week. 

Financial support is still needed

Picture
Please consider making a donation to keep Pine Tree Weather going through the year ahead. My data cost expense is increasing. The operation is 70% funded and needs your help to get through the winter. You can set up a monthly pledge on my Patreon page  or send me a message from the Facebook page or direct message on Twitter to get my address to mail a check or set up bill pay. 

​​
For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine.

For more information from me, please follow the Pine Tree Weather Facebook page and my Twitter feed.

Always stay weather aware, and thank you for your support! 

​- Mike
Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
    Ambassador

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26



    DONATE

    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture


    Archives

    April 2025
    March 2025
    February 2025
    January 2025
    December 2024
    November 2024
    October 2024
    September 2024
    August 2024
    July 2024
    June 2024
    May 2024
    April 2024
    March 2024
    February 2024
    January 2024
    December 2023
    November 2023
    October 2023
    September 2023
    August 2023
    July 2023
    June 2023
    May 2023
    April 2023
    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

Proudly powered by Weebly