Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • MAPS
  • NWS BRIEFINGS
  • SATRAD
  • MARINE
  • SNOW / ICE OUTLOOK
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • Who We Are
  • My Photography
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • MAPS
  • NWS BRIEFINGS
  • SATRAD
  • MARINE
  • SNOW / ICE OUTLOOK
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • Who We Are
  • My Photography

Forecast overdone, my take; squall potential through the evening

2/13/2020

Comments

 

Time to own some humble pie

This is like the third or fourth "flat" system this winter that turned into a bust. I am not going to make any excuses, but I do believe that it is worth an explanation. 
Picture
Analysis from 10 AM Thursday shows the disorganized low. This is due to the positive nature of the upper level trough moving east. That elongated area of low pressure over the Mid-Atlantic and low off to the east of Cape Cod was thought to come in a bit tighter... 
Picture
This would have brought in more snow for coastal areas, hence why I opted for the forecast I did. Obviously, it did not, so consequently snow totals are lower and temperatures a bit higher, which is assisting keeping the roads clear along the coast. Sometimes forecasts are on tight margins of error with temperature and timing. I though the cold would hold on and the low pressure systems riding along the frontal boundary would hold together better. They did not, so my forecast for the morning part of the day was a bust. That is on me. 
Picture
A couple things in regards to this afternoon... what is left of the moisture in the area around midday moves away from the east. As the arctic front approaches from the northwest, snow showers and snow squalls are possible. Some squalls may be strong enough to trigger an alert. If you get caught driving in a snow squall, pull over to the side of the road and turn on your four way hazard lights and wait it out until better visibility occurs. Roads could become snow covered quickly, which may create some slick spots. 

For MidCoast areas, there is potential for an inverted trough to set up this evening, which may bring a bonus inch or two of snow there, so be aware of that. 

WIND CHILL ADVISORY TONIGHT... bundle up, and stay warm.

​► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine.

► ► Due to a revised budget there is a $125 shortfall for the year ahead! You can help keep Pine Tree Weather going with a donation of ANY amount now through VENMO @PineTreeWeather, a monthly donation on Patreon or messaging me on Facebook or Twitter to send a check in the mail. Thank you for your support!

For more information from me, please check the Pine Tree Weather Facebook page as well as my Twitter feed. 

Always stay weather aware!

​- Mike

Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association

    Weather-Ready Nation 
    Ambassador
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26


    Support
    Pine Tree Weather

    DONATE

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Archives

    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

    RSS Feed

Proudly powered by Weebly