Second major storm of the week on the way Where there are three strong areas of high pressure around, there is a strong low and that is the situation here. Severe storms over the south, an epic blizzard going on over the Midwest, and an Arctic blast funneling in behind. Thankfully after this storm the pattern is going to shift, and it needs to. Major flooding for the shorelines For the oceanside dwellers, I am going to look you square in the eye here. I’ve been in communication with several people about the potential impacts. There are some who are sick to their stomachs about the situation because they know that it could be potentially worse than Wednesday. If you dealt with inundation that flooded the road that you live on, rocks made the road impassable, or suffered any damage to your home from the storm, my piece of advice to you is to get out. The defenses along the shorelines are wiped out. You are risking your life and those of emergency response people in case they must come and rescue you. You should evacuate and find safe shelter, whether one is mandated by the government or not. Get your important items, and leave. The following is from NWS Caribou for Penobscot Bay to Eastport:  From NWS Gray for Seacoast New Hampshire to Belfast:  If you live, work, or have business in this area PLEASE stay updated on this dangerous situation, and take appropriate action when directed. Timing of precipitation Friday 7 PM to Sunday Midnight - I don't normally like sharing precipitation type model ideas given the fact that bust potential runs moderate to high with these. This is shared to give you the general idea of what to expect in your area. As the coastal front works inland, precipitation is likely to rip along it. On the cold side, snowfall rates could nuke at 1-2" an hour Saturday morning over the western foothills on up into central areas and into northern areas. Along that coastal front, it will be heavy wet snow that will stick to everything and raise power outage concerns. Thankfully this is a quick hitter. Western areas will be able to clean up in the afternoon, which will be important as all of the slop received will turn to cement Saturday night. For the coastal plain and shorelines, the intrusion of cold air will turn any standing water into black ice overnight into Sunday. Some areas may turn into skating rinks with a general 1-1½" of rainfall expected.  The higher mountain tops stay snow the longest, and that is where there is a chance for a foot of snow. In the valleys, 6" is a fair bet, but if the cold hangs on longer, that idea may bust on the high end. Closer to the coast with warmer air involved, it could bust on the low end as the slop turns to a drooling mess. Timing of windThis loop I am about to show you is the wind speed at ~5,000' above, NOT the surface speeds. I don't want to give anyone a heart attack or a stroke, but it is the best way that I can present to you timing of the high end speeds.  Saturday Midnight to 4 PM - This is our saving grace here that it is a fast mover which cuts down on the duration of the wind. Speeds pick up heading towards daylight. There is about a six hour window of high end speeds. Like with Wednesday, when the heavy precipitation ends, the high end winds end with it. Southwestern areas are through it by around noon. the western mountains and central areas by around 1-3 PM, and eastern and northern between 2-6 PM.  The wind does not appear to be as strong with this event, but with everything else going on, the potential for power outages are there. Areas that get heavy wet snow run the risk, along with the shorelines. The final insult is a strong west / southwest wind that could gust 25-35 mph on Sunday may hamper power restoration efforts. NorEaster a low chance for next week I am not quite ready to stick a fork into this one just yet, but the confidence is rising that this will either brush the coast with light accumulations of snow or snow showers and/or flurries. The idea of a widespread impact event is low. My day started at 1 AM to prepare this post Thank you to Allspeed Cyclery & Snow in Portland, Downeast Aerial Photography in Rockland, Dutch Elm Golf Club in Arundel, and Sunrise Property Services in Bridgton, for partnering with Pine Tree Weather. Special thanks to all the individuals who financially contribute. I sincerely appreciate your support. Stay updated, stay on alert, and stay safe! - Mike PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the Who I Am page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you! NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you. |
Mike Haggett
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