Hot for Friday, a damp start to the holiday weekend

7/1/2022

Just a heads up that my family and I are heading to western foothills for a few days to unplug, have some fun, rest, relax, and recharge. My next planned update is expected Thursday, July 7th. I hope everyone has a wonderful weekend and has a chance to enjoy some great outdoor conditions once we get through the rain on Saturday.

There are several pages on this website that can help you piece together the forecast, along with direct links to the National Weather Service offices that cover our region.

Warm front moves in for Friday

A warm front passes through the region Friday morning. Once that happens, a south / southwesterly wind pumps heat in for all, along with humidity into a good portion of the state. This blast of uncomfortable conditions appears short-lived, and by Sunday morning, comfortable dew points will arrive for most.

Friday 6 AM to 6 PM - With the warm front maxing out northeast progression, northern areas end up on the fringe of it. As a result, isolated showers with a chance for a thunderstorm are possible for The County and the North Woods / Baxter State Park region. Any storm that form appears may bring downpours and some wind. The chance of severe storms is very low but can't be ruled out.

Western areas may escape the humid conditions through the daytime. but see dew points rise overnight into Saturday. Coastal and eastern areas are likely to notice increased humidity by the height of the day in mid-afternoon. For those headed to an oceanside beach, it would be wise to go early as the tide comes in this morning and pick your spot accordingly.

Showers and storms move in overnight into Saturday

Friday 6 PM to Saturday 6 AM - A cold front approaches the region. An amped southwest flow aloft pumps more moisture into the area and all areas have a sticky feel by morning from the humidity and the rain. Early morning travelers can expect areas of downpours along with areas of fog. There could be some rumbles of thunder embedded in the shower activity which may disturb overnight rest. For those camping out, make sure you are prepared for a deluge. There is a low chance for localized flash flooding in any area where torrential rain occurs.

Steady rain passes through Saturday morning,
isolated showers and storms possible in the afternoon

Saturday 6 AM to 9 PM - By noon, most areas are expected to see the main threat for showers and storms end. The wind shifts from the southwest to the west in the afternoon. The air column may dry out fairly quickly over the north and mountains bringing relief from the humidity there. A pop-up shower in the afternoon is possible for the coastal plain on up through the eastern interior to the coast as the moisture from the morning rain and humidity takes its time to depart. There is a slight chance for an isolated overnight shower over the north through early Sunday. Drier air reaches the coastline for most areas in the same timeframe. Expect a northwest breeze for Sunday.

Next rain chance: Tuesday

Monday 8 PM to Wednesday 2 AM - While the ridge associated with the heat from Friday collapses to the south, the region remains on the fringe of it. Disturbances ride along it, and one potentially arrives on Tuesday. For now, I am not expecting any severe concerns, but it is early to say for sure. For an area that could use a soaking rain, one can hope for some decent hydration. Time will tell.

Temperature outlook through midweek

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Stay updated, stay on alert, and stay safe!

Have a great holiday weekend!

- Mike

NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

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