Light snow Tuesday night, mixed event Thursday night into Friday

2/7/2023

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Pattern outlook through Sunday

The brutal cold stays bottled up in the north for now. The popular question I have been asked over the past couple of days is, "Is that going to happen again?!". I am not into meteorological tarot cards and 8-ball fortune tellers, so I can't say no. The stratospheric polar vortex will unload at some point somewhere. That is a game of Russian roulette as far as who gets it, and just how deep a cold it may deliver. The longer it takes, the less impactful as the hemisphere gradually warms.

The pattern is a couple weak systems Tuesday night and then again Thursday night. We'll go into a more zonal flow next week and that keeps the action to the south to start.

Hit or miss snow showers Tuesday night,
light ice to the south

Tuesday 7 PM to Wednesday 6 AM - I haven't talked much about this outside of a couple tweets and a Facebook post because there isn't much to talk about here. This loop looks worse that what it is. For most areas, less than a measly tenth of an inch of liquid here brings some snow flakes over most of the state, with trace ice amounts possible along the coastal plain. Some places will have to brush the car off, some won't. Shoveling, if you get that much, is optional as temps warm into the 40s south of Route 2 on Wednesday.

The main issue here is potential for a few slick spots on the roads overnight, but as you can see, outside of mountain showers, this over by daylight on Wednesday.

A bit more of a mess Thursday into early Friday

Thursday 2 PM to Friday 1 PM - As far as junk storms go (snow, sleet, freezing rain, rain) this doesn't appear to be too bad. Again, like Tuesday night, this is mainly an overnight affair with the exception of the north that will be dealing with morning snow Friday morning. The mountains get some snow showers through the afternoon as a cold front works in in the afternoon.

The trend of late with ideas is a bit warmer, but my cold air damming senses aren't buying it since this is an overnight event. I can see warm noses aloft bringing in sleet and freezing rain, which is why I am keeping the rough draft of snow amounts down over most of the region. The crown of the state sees the most snow out of this. For the nervous snow lovers, don't worry about liquid here as that comes in at the end, and it may not be much, if any, especially further inland.

Shoveling may be optional here for the areas south of Route 2 again as you will see below.

Outlook through the weekend

Temperatures overall run above normal. With the inside runner passing through Thursday night, that puts the state in the warm sector, which along with sun will clean up whatever junk falls on Friday. A cold front passing through Friday afternoon cools us off, and high pressure takes over for the weekend and controls the weather into next week.

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- Mike

NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

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