Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • MAPS
  • NWS BRIEFINGS
  • SATRAD
  • MARINE
  • SNOW / ICE OUTLOOK
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • Who We Are
  • My Photography
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • MAPS
  • NWS BRIEFINGS
  • SATRAD
  • MARINE
  • SNOW / ICE OUTLOOK
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • Who We Are
  • My Photography

Memorial Day weekend starts off with rain and thunderstorms

5/27/2022

Comments

 

Wet north, mainly dry south for Friday

Picture
A stationary front is parked over northern areas, allowing rain to persist through the day. A southwesterly flow aloft raises humidity levels, thus increasing the risk of afternoon thunderstorms over the mountains and north in the afternoon.

Areas of fog are expected to develop for MidCoast points eastward later in the day. Southwest coastal areas may see fog develop Friday night. The fog could be locally dense heading into Saturday morning. 
Picture
The Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Outlook highlights a low-end threat for strong to severe storms over the mountains and north Friday into Friday night. With the increase of humidity raising surface CAPE values in the 500-1000 j/kg level, all it will take is some sun to poke through for a time to initiate storms. As I have mentioned in my Facebook posts over the past couple of days, this is a sun dependent situation whether strong storms develop. Small hail and gusty wind could accompany storms IF they develop.
Picture
Friday 6 AM to Saturday Midnight - Given the trajectory of the system and the veering wind direction along the front, this sets up a training potential for storm that do develop. When storms train, they bring flash flood potential rain that could appear to be relentless to those caught in it. For folks pitching a tent in the north woods, it could be a very soggy night. Pick your campsite with flood potential in mind.

Chances for rain and storms for all Saturday

Picture
The Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Outlook shows a marginal threat for storms over the foothills and coastal plain region, with small hail and gusty wind possible. Again, this is a sun dependent situation. Areas that see the sun for a period time to warm the surface can expect thunder in the afternoon. Areas stuck in the clouds, or coastal areas dealing with fog are unlikely to see storms of concern. 
Picture
Saturday Midnight to Sunday Midnight - With the cold front approaching from the west and the veering wind direction riding along it, this will once again set up a flash flooding situation from training storms or downpours. Well saturated areas in the mountains and north from the rain and potential storms of Friday and Friday night can bet on areas flooding to occur when downpours come. 

The front makes progress to the east through the afternoon into Saturday night, clearing Washington County in the wee hours of Sunday morning. 

Expect breezy conditions for Sunday as an area of weak high pressure moves in. 

Picture

Outlook through midweek

Picture
Saturday 8 PM to Tuesday 8 PM - A look at the jet stream for an idea of what to expect through midweek shows a ridge containing hot and humid air to the south being cut off by an upper-level low developing over Labrador. Maine gets caught in the middle of this battle for upper air superiority and as a result deals with mostly cloudy / partly sunny conditions for the most part through midweek. As the upper-low flexes its muscle, that sends a backdoor cold front in from the northeast, keeping northern areas on the cool side, and brings a chance for showers over southwestern areas Monday night into early Tuesday.  The strength and position of the upper-low will dictate temperatures and cloud cover heading into the latter part of the week. 

Temperature outlook through Wednesday

Picture

Be prepared to receive alerts and stay updated!

Picture
​BE PREPARED WITH NOAA Weather Radio.
​​
​For $20-$40, it could provide vital information to you when you need it. The weather bands are standard on most public safety scanners, and newer scanner models. Weather radios can be programmed for auto alert. Click here for more information.

​► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins, and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine.
Picture

Picture
For more information in between posts, please follow Pine Tree Weather on Facebook and Twitter. 

​Thank you for supporting this community-based weather information source which operates by reader supported financial contributions. 

Thank you as always for your support! 

- Mike

​NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association

    Weather-Ready Nation 
    Ambassador
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26


    Support
    Pine Tree Weather

    DONATE

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Archives

    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

    RSS Feed

Proudly powered by Weebly