The last day of 70s for a while
Thursday starts off with a few clouds around and some patchy fog in areas. Clouds appear to be on the increase during the day as warm air moves in aloft, which will keep temperatures cooler over interior areas. The further inland, the more clouds are likely for the day.
Thursday 6 AM - Friday Midnight: A weak cold front drops south over northern and eastern areas while a weak disturbance rides along an upper ridge to the west. The result is a few isolated spot showers / sprinkles across the state through the day and into the night.
Scattered light showers for Friday
Friday Midnight to 8 PM: A warm front sets up just to the west. A weak disturbance rides along it, which brings the chance for light showers and sprinkles across much of the region during the day.
Steady rain arrives Saturday night into early Sunday
Friday 8 PM - Sunday 8 PM: An area of low pressure intensifies over the Great Lakes and heads into northern Quebec, while dragging a cold front through the region. Showers are possible at times on Saturday for western, northern, and eastern areas, with a low chance for southern areas. The front pushes through Saturday night into early Sunday where rain, which could be heavy at times, is expected across the entire state. An upper low precedes the passing front, which moves into the region on Sunday, and brings the chance for spot showers through the start of the week.
Expect breezy conditions starting Saturday, which will continue through early next week, and cause widespread leaf drop, ending what has been an amazing foliage season.
Rain amounts across the area favor the areas that need it the most. The north and mountains can expect the higher amounts from this event, with lesser amounts further south.
Current deficit for 2022 - $2,000
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Penn State '21
AMS / NWA