Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • MAPS
  • BRIEFINGS
  • SATRAD
  • MARINE
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SNOW / ICE OUTLOOK
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • Weather Geekdom
  • Who We Are
  • DONATE
  • My Photography
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • MAPS
  • BRIEFINGS
  • SATRAD
  • MARINE
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SNOW / ICE OUTLOOK
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • Weather Geekdom
  • Who We Are
  • DONATE
  • My Photography

Rain, fog and flood potential through Friday

1/10/2018

Comments

 

We're having a meltdown

Picture
Three key words to get us through Friday will be rain, fog and flooding. While this Weather Prediction Center estimate shows roughly a half inch or more of liquid precipitation statewide through Saturday morning, to the eye it does not look like a big deal. With the warm air meeting the cold at the surface, fog will do its job and eat at the snow pack better than any style of warm rain event.
Picture
As far as Thursday goes, there is just scattered shower activity during the day as the area is in between the warm front that passed through overnight. It will be breezy as southwesterly winds will pick up, and will raise temperatures into the 40s for most areas, with low 50s likely for the southwest interior. The fog will be dense in areas, so be aware as you drive around that you could be heading into an abyss. Rain is on track to pick up with intensity overnight in Friday morning. Flooding from ice jams on rivers, brooks and streams, as well as urban street flooding are a real possibility.

The set up for Saturday

Picture
In the wee hours of Saturday, the cold front is on track to slowly sag into the Gulf of Maine and stall. Cold air associated with high pressure to the west will filter in and freeze everything up. Any standing water on roadways, sidewalks, and parking lots will turn into ice, and do so rapidly. Expect flash freezing heading towards daylight Saturday everywhere. 

Low pressure over the Mid-Atlantic moves northeast along the front, and that is where the sleet, freezing rain and snow come into play. 
Picture
My rough idea posted on Facebook last evening is still on the discussion table as to how this will play out.  The mountains and north will likely see some sleet and freezing rain, but snow is likely to be the dominating feature. For the south and east, rain changes to freezing rain and sleet, with perhaps a touch of snow as a parting gift before it ends Saturday evening. 

I will provide an update on what to expect out of this for precipitation types and amounts in an update Thursday afternoon. 

​- Mike
Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Penn State
    Weather Forecast Certification '21.
    AMS / NWA
    Weather-Ready Nation 
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Picture

    Alex Hatfield
    Wakefield,MA


    Penn State
    Meteorology and Atmospheric Science ‘21
    PSUBAMS
    Campus Weather Service
    PSU Storm Chase Team
    PSU College of Earth &  Mineral Sciences Ambassador

    Picture

    Kaitlyn Lardeo
    ​Syracuse, NY

    SUNY Oswego
    Atmospheric Science
    Lake Effect Storm Prediction and Research Center
    Northeastern Storm Conference Contributor

    DONATE
    Picture

    Archives

    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

    Categories

    All
    Maine Weather
    Pine Tree Weather

    RSS Feed

Proudly powered by Weebly