Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI

Showers off and on through Saturday; Memorial Day Weekend thoughts

5/21/2018

Comments

 

More beneficial rain on the way

Picture
The area was able to get some benefit of shower activity over the weekend, and there is more on the way for Tuesday into Wednesday.  As the foliage continues to grow in, the fire threat will gradually diminish toward the weekend, which is good news for campers and hikers that are planning to get out and enjoy the long weekend. 

Tuesday won't be a total loss as showers should hold off until around noon over south and western areas, and then work northeastward in the afternoon. Northern Maine should see most of the daylight on the dry end with showers reaching there by late afternoon / early evening.

Wednesday sees showers slowly tapering from southwest to northeast during the morning, ending roughly late morning to mid-afternoon over northern and eastern areas. 

Memorial Day Weekend Watch

Picture
This loop represents humidity in the air over the North American continent through Monday evening. This is shows the pattern extremely well. The browns and grays identify dry air, the other colors represent increased moisture.  The loops shows the uptick of humidity with the Tuesday / Wednesday system, followed by drier air for Thursday. Humidity increases Friday into Saturday as showers are expected once again, followed by drier air settling in for Sunday into Monday.

This is the GFS model idea for what could happen here. There are discrepancies in model ideas for the second half of the weekend in regards to the movement of the frontal boundary over the region. The European model keeps the moisture and rain threat in the forecast through Monday. Important to note that the European model has done poorly over our region beyond five days. Given that recent performance, I tend to side with the GFS at this point. The GFS has been the better of the two models in the 5-7 day range. We can't take the forecast for second half of the weekend to the bank yet, but I like the chances that Sunday and Monday will be decent weather days. 

5-Day Outlook for the north country

Picture
High temperatures for Tuesday and Wednesday will be dependent on where one is in the north. Tuesday will be warmer for the Crown since showers won't arrive until later, and the mercury could climb there into the low 70s. For Wednesday, it's the opposite, with cooler temperatures north and warmer temperatures over the western mountains.  A weak disturbance brings more clouds than sun for Thursday, then showers return to start the holiday weekend. 

5-Day Outlook for the coastal plain

Picture
With showers ending Wednesday morning, temperatures should tick up the 70s much of the region, with far eastern areas staying cooler in the upper 60s. Friday will feel like summer with 80s possible for much of the southwest interior, cooler DownEast. I expect humidity will also build Friday as a warm front approaches from the southwest.

Official forecasts from NWS Gray for western and southern Maine and NWS Caribou for eastern and northern Maine.

Thanks as always for your support!

​- Mike
Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
    Ambassador

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26



    DONATE

    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture


    Archives

    April 2025
    March 2025
    February 2025
    January 2025
    December 2024
    November 2024
    October 2024
    September 2024
    August 2024
    July 2024
    June 2024
    May 2024
    April 2024
    March 2024
    February 2024
    January 2024
    December 2023
    November 2023
    October 2023
    September 2023
    August 2023
    July 2023
    June 2023
    May 2023
    April 2023
    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

Proudly powered by Weebly