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Snow chances daily through Wednesday; potential for slick Tuesday PM commute

11/18/2018

Comments

 

Nothing major, but something to watch

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Monday morning sees a chance for some spotty snow showers as a weak system quickly moves eastward. It may be potent enough to drop between a dusting to 2" from the foothills and central highlands to the coastline. Some areas of the shorelines may see a switch to rain warm air moves in off the water and creates a coastal front  as the system passes through.  Expect some slick spots and allow for extra time as you travel.

Tuesday may be a bit more robust, however. 
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Another disturbance generates to the south of the region and passes through the area Tuesday afternoon. I will be right out front with this and say there is uncertainty on just how much snow comes with this one. The American models (NAM/GFS) are a bit more aggressive with snow amounts than their European and Canadian counterparts. The differences lie in the track of the system, with the Euro / Canadian further offshore, and the American models bringing the system closer to shore. 
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I think it is safe bet that the coastal plain will receive snow the afternoon on Tuesday, which would likely impact the evening commute. Due to uncertainty, there is a fair amount of bust potential, meaning snow amounts may decrease or increase pending on how this plays out.

These clipper systems are a bit tricky to forecast and could be a surprise, either with over or under performance. Be prepared either way for a greasy, slow evening commute. 

Snow showers return Wednesday primarily for western, eastern and northern areas with potential for an inch or two. That system will the front ahead of the coldest air mass to date in time for Thanksgiving. It will be a windy and bitterly cold holiday. The weekend appears to be quiet until Sunday where there is a potential for a storm as we head into the last week of the month. It's too early to provide anything definitive. 

Personal note

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Alcohol and drug addiction has touched the lives of many of us, and it has me. November 18, 1991 is a day where my life changed when I finally surrendered to my problem and asked for help to deal with the issue. I felt helpless, hopeless, shameful, guilt-ridden and disgusted. My life was nearly destroyed as a result of this by the time I was 22 years old. Looking back on it now, I should have been dead, gone, and buried. In surrendering, I was able to get help from many and reinvented my life through God's Grace that I wouldn't trade for anything. For those that are struggling, there is hope and there is a better way. Reach out. Ask for help. The assistance is there, and you may be pleasantly surprised just how much of it is available. It is totally worth it. It's been 27 years for me. If it is possible for me, it's possible for anyone, no matter the age. 

The Maine Alliance for Addiction Recovery is a wonderful resource for assistance options or by calling the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration 1-800-662-HELP (4357) 24/7/365 to talk to someone. It is completely worth it. 

Your support is valued and appreciated! 

​​Please consider making a donation to keep Pine Tree Weather going through the year ahead. My data cost expense is increasing. The operation is 75% funded and needs your help to get through the winter. You can set up a monthly pledge on my Patreon page  or send me a message from the Facebook page or direct message on Twitter to get my address to mail a check or set up bill pay. 
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​​For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine.

For more information from me, please follow the Pine Tree Weather Facebook page and my Twitter feed.

Always stay weather aware, and thank you for your support! 

​- Mike
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    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

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