The set up
This will be third Monday storm over the past three weeks that will bring impacts to the region, and this one is shaping up to be the most potent. With more blocking beginning to build in the northern hemisphere as winter astronomically approaches, the risk of strong storms increases and that is what is going on here. A strong ridge with a blocking high to the east, a strong blocking ridge to the west, with an upper level trough driving to the southeast that fires up two areas of low pressure that are expected to spin through the neighborhood through early Tuesday.
Monday 7 AM to Tuesday 1 PM - The parent low over central New York heads for Montreal as a secondary low gets its act together south of Long Island. As the secondary low tracks into New England, it siphons off energy from the low to the north as is intensifies as it rips through the region for eastern Quebec. In the wake of the system, a cut-off upper-low keeps the region unsettled as is slowly crawls just to the south of the region through the week.
With the idea of a sub-980mb pressure storm with a firm moisture hose attached to it from the Gulf of Mexico, the potential for damaging wind, flash flood potential rainfall, along with a coastal beating are all on the discussion table.
Potential for two waves of strong wind,