Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI

Sunday January 14, 2024

1/14/2024

Comments

 
It's been a horrific week for the shorelines. I remember many storms over the years from the Blizzard of 1978, various tropical systems, the Perfect Storm in 1991, Patriots Day storm in 2007, along with many others I covered since I took the deep dive into forecasting in January 2012. The Shoreline Annihilator Storms of January 2024 is how I will remember this one-two obliteration. Every ocean storm going forward will be concerning. What defenses were left after Wednesday's storm were mostly eliminated after Saturday.

It's tough as a forecaster. You see the train coming. You know full well there is nothing that can stop it. You do your best to prepare the public for what is coming. You know that lives, property, and the geography are going to change. Cherished locations that have been part of many generations will be lost. The hardest part is watching it all verify.

It's going to hurt for a while. There will be anger and finger pointing, and all kinds of political and scientific agenda football that will be played out in the time ahead as a result of these two storms. 

We will clean up, rebuild, and move on. For those of us who live in shoreline communities like me, we're going to need to do it together. In the worst can come the best out of people. I look forward to seeing how we all rally together. That is what makes Maine great. 

I am going to do my part and keep an eye on the weather. The active pattern continues. 

Gnarly snow squalls on tap for Sunday

Picture
A sharp cold front is expected to pass through New England today. There is no such thing as a Snow Squall Watch, but by reading this, you know the threat exists. Given the fact that this is a holiday weekend and folks are travelling out and about, the National Weather Service offices that serve the six states could trigger localized Wireless Emergency Alert (WEA) on smartphones and an alert tone on NOAA weather radio.

In my area Saturday, a localized WEA was activated for storm surge. Some folks got it, others did not. I  understand these things can be annoying, and people get frustrated and shut them off. This is a day where you need to turn them back on if you are one of those, especially if you are out and about. Check your phones. For iPhones. click here and follow the instructions. For Android, click here and do the same. 
Picture
Sunday Noon to Monday Midnight - Wind speeds will pick up Sunday as the front approaches. There appears to be just enough moisture and convective energy ahead of the front to touch off some gnarly snow squalls. All areas have a chance of getting one. Quick bursts of heavy snow along with wind gusts 35-45 mph is like driving into a blizzard. White out conditions, rapid accumulations of upwards of 1"+ as the hourly snowfall loop above indicates. Roads will become slick and fast, along with visibility reduced to feet. Stay on alert if you are driving. This could be a potentially dangerous situation on the roads. 

NorEaster Tuesday night into Wednesday to bring snow

Picture
Tuesday 7 AM to Wednesday 7 AM - Another quick hitter on the way, The phasing of the polar jet and the subtropical jet comes a bit late for a significant storm, but snow is likely, and enough of it that could impact the Tuesday evening commute, along with overnight travel. The storm should be clear by Wednesday morning.
Picture
First call here subject to revision which I will update on Monday morning. Light and fluffy is the consistency. There is not a whole lot of moisture with this, but it will puff up. The closer to the coast, the chances are good for 3". Easy move with a leaf blower. Cold enough where it gets compacted where it could be slick as glass in untreated areas. Coastal Washington County could get a half a foot out this. 

Another storm on Friday

Picture
Ensemble ideas are widely scattered, but the ensemble mean indicates the potential for another repeat of Tuesday night into Wednesday. It's too early to get into specifics. other than the fact there will be plenty of cold air around so it will likely be an all snow event.

​Stay tuned. 

Temperature outlook

I haven't posted these in awhile because of the lack of confidence given the pattern last week. Confidence is better now. The Big Chill over the Midwest tracks east, but it will modify as it enters our area.  We'll have some cold starts though, but it is mid-January and it comes with the territory. The pattern shifts to a milder one as we head into the latter part of the month. 
Picture
Picture
Picture
Picture

The string of early starts to keep you updated continues

Picture

Thank you to Allspeed Cyclery & Snow in Portland, Downeast Aerial Photography in Rockland, Dutch Elm Golf Club in Arundel,
and Sunrise Property Services in Bridgton, for partnering with Pine Tree Weather.

Special thanks to all the individuals who financially contribute.
​I sincerely appreciate your support. 

Always  have MULTIPLE ways to receive weather alerts.

Stay updated, stay on alert, and stay safe!

- Mike

PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the Who I Am page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you! ​

​NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
    Ambassador

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26



    DONATE

    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture


    Archives

    April 2025
    March 2025
    February 2025
    January 2025
    December 2024
    November 2024
    October 2024
    September 2024
    August 2024
    July 2024
    June 2024
    May 2024
    April 2024
    March 2024
    February 2024
    January 2024
    December 2023
    November 2023
    October 2023
    September 2023
    August 2023
    July 2023
    June 2023
    May 2023
    April 2023
    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

Proudly powered by Weebly