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Thursday February 1, 2024

2/1/2024

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The last round of precipitation until later next week

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A few areas of freezing fog around to start the day, especially around Sebago Lake and the open rivers over the western part of the region. High pressure to the southeast has created a southwest flow ahead of the approaching front that will bring snow to the north through the day and into Friday. A trailing wave touches off an ocean storm as we head into the weekend, but that will stay to the south and east, and give the shorelines a bit of surf.

A good ol' fashioned lazy snow event

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Thursday 7 AM (12z) to Friday 7 AM (12z) - For a snow "storm", this is about as steady and calm as it gets. There is no real forcing aloft. There could be spurts of moderately falling snow, but overall, this is a laid back affair. It may be annoying enough for the road crews in northern areas to continue to make runs, but other than that, it's a peaceful event. 
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Friday 7 AM (12z) to Saturday 7 AM (12z) - As the front departs early Friday morning, it runs into a diving trough to the northeast that nudges it back to southeast in a pseudo backdoor cold front form, which will keep the snow showers going on over the north, east, and mountains through the day. An upper-level ridge swats this housefly and shuts down the snow globe heading into Saturday morning. 

While Thursday is relatively quiet with the wind, it'll crank up a bit on Friday as the system heads southeast, with gusts in 20 mph range which will continue through Saturday.  
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A slight tweak to the snowfall map from Wednesdays' FB post, but it's straightforward. I can see the ski hills in the 2-5" range. I can see the tip of the crown in the north pushing 6", but there is only so much liquid equivalent that can be squeezed out of this turnip. 

There could be a bit of mixing DownEast, but not of great concern on the junk meter. 

Outlook into next week

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A look at the 500mb height steering level anomaly shows the massive blocking ridge over central Canada playing goalie and keeps the troughs and storms away until it begins to break down later next week. With our region to the east of the ridge, temperatures gradually warm as we head into the middle part of next week.

The next chance for precipitation comes the following weekend. 
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POSTING STATUS - Given the quiet pattern, I am going to rest up a bit as I see busier times ahead as we head into the second full week of February. I may do some updates on Facebook over the weekend, and then do an update here early next week. 

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Thank you to Allspeed Cyclery & Snow in Portland, Downeast Aerial Photography in Rockland, Dutch Elm Golf Club in Arundel,
and Sunrise Property Services in Bridgton, for partnering with Pine Tree Weather.

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​NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

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    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
    Ambassador

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26


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    Jenna Gurtz
    Buffalo Grove, IL

    B.A. Atmospheric Science
    & Meteorology

    Campus Weather Service
    ​
    ​Penn State '25


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    Trey Austin
    Raleigh, NC

    Atmospheric Science 
    & Meteorology

    Environmental Science

    NC State '26


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    Harry Fuess
    East Lansing, MI

    Atmospheric
    ​& Climate Science

    Quantitative Data Analytics

    Michigan State '26


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    Daniel Weaver
    North Wales, PA

    Atmospheric Science 
    & Meteorology

    History

    Campus Weather Service

    ​Penn State '26



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