Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI

Thursday January 25, 2024

1/25/2024

Comments

 

Ice to melt off in most areas... hopefully

Picture
After the overnight mess clears out early Thursday morning, the sun is expect to make an appearance and de-ice the area after one of the trashier storms of the season to this point. A breeze is expected to pick up which will help dry things out a bit, which is important, because cold air makes re-entry and sets the table for Friday. Areas that do not melt may raise localized concerns as another round of junk is on the way,

Cold air damming to play a role on Friday

Picture
Thursday 1 PM (18z) to Friday 7 PM (Saturday 00z) - Temperature here is degrees Celsius for contrast purposes to show the at or below freezing air pouring back into the region. The best chance of the freezing rain / sleety junk is primarily over the western interior. The NAM3 model is fairly good at showing the cold at the surface of all the available short term ideas. Around the freezing line is where the best chance of the mix is possible.

Timing through Saturday

Picture
Friday 4 AM (09z) to 7 PM (00z Saturday) -  Guidance has cooled its ideas somewhat in the past  24 hours, but it's still bent on a warm nose to work in aloft over western areas. This is likely to bring another round of freezing rain, with a switch to sleet in areas, and then eventually to snow as the wave departs. Southwestern coastal areas in the home office region of Kennebunk can expect a mainly rain event from this. To the north and east, it mainly snow with some mixing possible over the DownEast interior south of Bangor. 
Picture
Friday 7 AM (00z Saturday) to 1 PM  Saturday (18z) - As the poorly organized wave departs Friday night, a weak boundary works in Saturday morning. With residual moisture lingering from the wave could stir up areas of  light snow over the interior and light ice over the south. As the morning progresses, the boundary gives the light precipitation a final shove into the Gulf of Maine. The sun  is expected come out to help temperatures rise above freezing to help clean up south of the mountains and north. 
Picture
This is a sloppy mess for the western interior. Bust potential is rather high south of the mountains for snowfall given the mixing and low ratio snow. The further north, the easier this will be to deal with in the aftermath. A rough estimate of ¼ - ½" of liquid equivalent is involved here, with lesser amounts to the north. 

Sunday into Monday idea not dead yet

Picture
I mentioned on Facebook Wednesday afternoon that I am not a fan of the set up for snow potential with this potential storm, and I am still not. The lack of upstream blocking, an upper-level trough dropping down from the northwest, with a weak ridge sandwiched in the middle between Maine and the storm. It will boil down to timing of the approach of the trough. If it is late in arriving, it could be game on for coastal snow. If it is early, it's game over. With the upper-level energy associated with this system making landfall in the Pacific northwest Thursday morning, a clearer picture will come in the next 24 hours. 

I can't do this without you! 

Picture

Thank you to Allspeed Cyclery & Snow in Portland, Downeast Aerial Photography in Rockland, Dutch Elm Golf Club in Arundel,
and Sunrise Property Services in Bridgton, for partnering with Pine Tree Weather.

Special thanks to all the individuals who financially contribute.
​I sincerely appreciate your support. 


Always have MULTIPLE ways to receive weather alerts.

Thank you for being part of my journey.
​
Stay updated, stay on alert, and stay safe!

- Mike

PRINT MEDIA: Feel free to quote and cite my work here for your stories. Please give me the professional courtesy of knowing that you are referencing my material so I can read your final product and acknowledge it on my media and link it on the PTW IN MEDIA page here on the website. Feel free to send me a message via the Facebook page or Twitter (X) to get my phone number if necessary. Thank you! ​

​NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
    Ambassador

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26



    DONATE

    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture


    Archives

    April 2025
    March 2025
    February 2025
    January 2025
    December 2024
    November 2024
    October 2024
    September 2024
    August 2024
    July 2024
    June 2024
    May 2024
    April 2024
    March 2024
    February 2024
    January 2024
    December 2023
    November 2023
    October 2023
    September 2023
    August 2023
    July 2023
    June 2023
    May 2023
    April 2023
    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

Proudly powered by Weebly