Pine Tree Weather
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI
  • DISCUSSIONS
  • DONATE
  • WEATHER WALL
  • MAPS
  • RAIN OUTLOOK
  • SEVERE
  • MARINE
  • CPC OUTLOOK
  • Kennebunk
  • MY BIO
  • PTW IN MEDIA
  • OBSERVING WEATHER
  • INTERNSHIPS
  • INTERN ALUMNI

Winter weather advisory posted for an early spring junk storm

4/4/2023

Comments

 
Just a quick update on my status: The most recent break here did me well. While that was not the plan, I ran into computer issues at my office that took several days to get worked out. I now have a new 32" screen to work off that the PC agrees with. Who knew that some monitors and PCs didn't get along? I know that now. 

My thumbs are in great shape. I have gone several days without pain. I am staying the course with my change in lifestyle. Praise God for all of that. 

Now with all of that in the rear-view mirror, we have a junk storm on the way. 

Main concerns for ice, sleet and snow over interior areas

Picture
These junk storm events are tricky to predict in winter. What gives this outlook credibility is two-fold. Old friend cold air damming, and most of the precipitation falling at night. The result will be slick travel over the interior starting Wednesday afternoon and into Thursday. 

A Winter Weather Advisory has been posted for areas away from the coast. Plan accordingly. 

A little bit of everything can be expected with this one

Picture
Wednesday 6 AM to Thursday 2 PM - I am not confident that all the pretty colors on this loop are going to line up with what is making landfall, which is why you should report your observations to mPing to help forecasters see what the radar may not be. As of Tuesday afternoon, the idea is for most of the precipitation associated with the warm front to fall between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning, with showers of various precipitation types to continue through the day and into the evening. 
Picture
Snow for the southern half of the state appears minimal. The Great North Woods on up into The County is where the shovels will be needed. 

While the south won't shovel the ice threat is certainly a possibility over the interior. 
Picture
Wednesday 8 AM to Thursday Noon - Cold air damming fools models. I have berated that fact in these updates virtually from the start of my meteorological pursuits. In situations like this, I look for the coldest model idea. In this case it is the GFS.  The gray indicates temperatures below 0°C (below 32°F). The question I have is whether the ice that comes Wednesday night into Thursday morning will be able to melt in time before sundown. If this were February, all bets are off. But with the sun angle up above 45° along with a fair chance that the sun may poke through around midday into the afternoon, that will be great news.  If the clouds hold tight over the western mountains and temperatures hover around freezing, I do have concerns. 
Picture
The western mountains appear to be the region where most of the ice is accreted. This would be concerning IF the temperatures do not rise above freezing as a cold front is expected to pass through Thursday night, and a cold windy day is expected on Friday with gusts upwards of 40 mph.  I want to believe that it will, as this could be a power outage concern. There may be some anyway given the wind speed, whether there is ice on the trees or not. If the ice does not melt, the power outage threat is real. If the GFS model is right, I don't get the warm fuzzies that ice will be quick to melt. Let's hope that temperatures do rise, and some sun gets out before the cold front and wind arrives Thursday night. 

Stay tuned!

Picture

​Pine Tree Weather is funded from followers like you.
I would appreciate your financial support. 
Click here for how you can contribute.


You may not like the weather, but I hope you like what I do! Please hit the like button
​on Twitter and Facebook, and share!

Stay updated, stay on alert, and stay safe!

- Mike

​NOTE: The forecast information depicted on this platform is for general information purposes only for the public and is not designed or intended for commercial use. For those seeking pinpoint weather information for business operations, you should use a private sector source. For information about where to find commercial forecasters to assist your business, please message me and I will be happy to help you.

Comments
    Picture

    Mike Haggett
    Kennebunk, ME

    Weather-Ready Nation
    Ambassador

    Certified Weather
    Forecaster
    Penn State '21

    American Meteorological Society

    National Weather Association
    ​
    ​SKYWARN-CWOP

    Matthew 19:26



    DONATE

    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture
    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture

    Picture


    Archives

    April 2025
    March 2025
    February 2025
    January 2025
    December 2024
    November 2024
    October 2024
    September 2024
    August 2024
    July 2024
    June 2024
    May 2024
    April 2024
    March 2024
    February 2024
    January 2024
    December 2023
    November 2023
    October 2023
    September 2023
    August 2023
    July 2023
    June 2023
    May 2023
    April 2023
    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017

Proudly powered by Weebly