Snow departs the region by mid morning The slow moving frontal boundary bringing snow to coastal areas departs by around 9-10 AM. Clouds will depart along with it, with most areas seeing mainly sunny conditions in the afternoon. It will be back to reality with the thermometer as high temperatures range from teens in The County to around 32° over southern areas. Snow showers arrive in the western mountains around sunset or soon thereafter, and will continue into Wednesday night as an arctic high moves in. A bitter cold start to Thursday While the actual temperature stays above zero for most areas, it may not feel that way Thursday morning. The western mountains and north feel the brunt of the cold with wind chill values below zero, with single digits and teens elsewhere. It will be a mostly sunny day, but crisp, with highs in the teens north to around 30° along the southwest coast. The northwest breeze diminishes as the day progresses. Another rain event for the weekend The arctic high quickly moves east Thursday night, A strong ridge works in from the southwest and brings temperatures up 10-15° warmer fo Friday. Precipitation surges northeast Friday night. Interior areas may see a brief period of snow, sleet and/or freezing rain overnight before the change to all rain Saturday morning. After a washout day, colder air returns behind the storm on Sunday, bringing snow shower activity over the mountains and north, with gusty wind.  With the area receiving more rain on top of what recently fell, there is concern for some rivers in the mountains reaching flood stage with more snow melt Saturday into early Sunday. While winter lovers may be depressed over the loss of the snowpack, the pattern is very likely to change starting Monday night into Tuesday with what appears to be a widespread snowfall. Most, if not all areas are likely to have a white Christmas. Funding still needed to pay my bills for the year ahead ► ► $450 shortfall for the year ahead! You can help keep Pine Tree Weather going with a donation of any amount now through VENMO @PineTreeWeather, a monthly donation on Patreon or messaging me on Facebook or Twitter to send a check in the mail. Thank you for your support!
For more information from me, please check the Pine Tree Weather Facebook page as well as my Twitter feed. Always stay weather aware! - Mike Chances for slick areas as everything freezes up No matter where you are in the state there could be ice at the very least. A cold front will slide through the region starting Tuesday afternoon and will clear the coast around midnight Wednesday. The front slows down for a few hours over the Gulf of Maine. A weak impulse is predicted to form along the front, and has potential to bring an inch or two of snow Wednesday morning. The timing of it is not good for the morning commute.  Tuesday will be a cloudy affair with some areas of fog around. A few showers work through the area in the morning, with one last surge of widespread shower activity working through Tuesday afternoon ahead of the approaching front. As the front slows down, combined with the cold air, snow forms along it, and potentially bring slick conditions in areas for the Wednesday morning drive time. Keep in mind with all of the rain, any road salt has washed off the surface of the roadways, hence untreated areas will become slick with minimal snow cover. Keep that in mind as you head out, especially for the early commuters. Another round of rain for the weekend Cold high pressure moves into the region Thursday into Friday. That high quickly exits to the east Friday afternoon and another strong surge of warm air move in from the southwest Friday night. Far interior areas may see snow initially, but in similar fashion to the current weather maker, warm air eventually wins out, bringing rain everywhere on Saturday. A trailing area if low pressure may bring snow showers to the mountains and north Sunday, and rain showers for the coastal plain. For those depressed snow lovers, I bring you hope for a potential snow maker the middle part of next week. Stay tuned! ► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine. Please help me get to the finish line! ► ► $450 shortfall for the year ahead! You can help keep Pine Tree Weather going with a donation of any amount now through VENMO @PineTreeWeather, a monthly donation on Patreon or messaging me on Facebook or Twitter to send a check in the mail. Thank you for your support!
For more information from me, please check the Pine Tree Weather Facebook page as well as my Twitter feed. Always stay weather aware! - Mike Snow pack on track to take a hit This is not what skiers, snowmobilers and other winter outdoor enthusiasts are looking for. The snowpack is going to take a hit with this system, and it may happen again over the coming weekend. For now we will deal with what is in front of us, and that is rain. If your driveway is snow covered, make sure you have sand and salt around to treat it. All of this rain will turn everything into a skating rink on Wednesday. Snow / mix turns to all rain by Monday night I suspect cold air damming may be a bit stubborn over pockets of interior areas Monday morning, so be on the lookout for areas of freezing rain if you are travelling through midday. By this afternoon, all areas should be above freezing and this will turn into an all rain event. Rain could be heavy at times through the night, especially along the coastal plain. Not only is there some minor flooding concerns, but fog will be an issue for travel, and it could be locally dense into Tuesday morning. With the steadier rain ending by Tuesday morning, the rest of the day could feature some pockets of light showers, perhaps drizzle and fog,  A general 1-2" of rain is possible for the coastal plain and east facing mountains, with lesser amounts to the north.  Wind is the big concern for this one for coastal areas, especially MidCoast and DownEast. Sustained wind shown here could reach 25 - 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. This is strong enough for potential power outages overnight into early Tuesday. The stronger gusts settle Tuesday morning, but the breeze will continue through the day and into Wednesday. Storm ends with some snow A cold front sweeps through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. I am concerned about an impulse wave that may flare up along it as the front moves through the Gulf of Maine, which could bring a bit more snow than this. With the falling temperatures, any standing water will freeze, then and some snow on top of it could make for a slow commute Wednesday morning. I will update on this. ► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine. Your financial support is needed! ► ► $450 shortfall for the year ahead! You can help keep Pine Tree Weather going with a donation of any amount now through VENMO @PineTreeWeather, a monthly donation on Patreon or messaging me on Facebook or Twitter to send a check in the mail. Thank you for your support!
For more information from me, please check the Pine Tree Weather Facebook page as well as my Twitter feed. Always stay weather aware! - Mike Just enough to make the evening commute slick Clouds increase as a weak wave works through the region Friday afternoon. I am not expecting a whole lot of snow out of this, but it will be enough to cover roads and sidewalks, and create some slick spots. I am a bit concerned that shoreline areas south of Portland may get a bit more than the projected snowfall amounts as a surface low blossoms over the ocean as it moves eastward.  It generally appears manageable as far as hourly amounts go. Suggested idea from the HRRR model thinks anywhere between a tenth to four tenths an hour, with the heaviest falling around 6-7 PM. For most areas, this is over by 9 PM.  Again, shoreline towns may see a bit more (3") roughly Portland south. These types of systems can be rather sneaky pending on how the energy associated with it engages with the ocean water. Expect a slow ride home in areas over southern areas, and expect visibility reduced in areas. ► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine. Please #mPING today! Maine needs mPing support from residents to better assist weather forecasters during storms. It's simple, easy, anonymous, and a totally free way to report weather conditions ► http://mping.nssl.noaa.gov Thank you for your assistance! Your help is needed to get to the fundraising goal! ► ► $500 shortfall for the year ahead! You can help keep Pine Tree Weather going with a donation of any amount now through VENMO @PineTreeWeather, a monthly donation on Patreon or messaging me on Facebook or Twitter to send a check in the mail. Thank you for your support!
For more information from me, please check the Pine Tree Weather Facebook page as well as my Twitter feed. Always stay weather aware! - Mike Stay on alert for rapidly changing conditions For those that are travelling around the state today, expect a slow go of it. Heavy bands of snow along with gusty wind will make getting around a challenge in areas. Make sure you have storm essentials packed in your vehicle, cell phone charged, and water in case you get caught in a situation where roads may be impassable, or if you go off the road. The storm gets its act together I mentioned here yesterday the difficulty in forecasting the Monday part due to mid level low pressure areas being scattered. As of 5 AM. most of those pieces have come together. The upper low (500 mb) gets finished capturing the surface low, it's game on. This is when the heavy bands begin to form, and the wind begins to crank.  While the heavy deformation bands are difficult to predict their formation, guidance hints at their potential. With the upper low pulling the surface low to the north-northeast, the idea is that areas from Portland east have the best chance to see snowfall rates in excess of 1" per hour or more in time through the morning through mid to late afternoon. Any slight jog of the storm track to the west or east will have impact on how this plays out. It is wise for everyone in the area to note this potential.  Along with the heavy snow bands comes gusty winds, which have potential to cause whiteout conditions. After the snow ends, the blowing and drifting of snow continues Tuesday night into Wednesday, with the wind settling out as high pressure moves in by Wednesday night.  I expect sleet and freezing rain will keep totals down for the DownEast shorelines. I expect the bulk of the snow to come hard and fast. Given the wind continuing overnight, it may be best to wait to move the snow in drift prone areas until you absolutely have to. This will be a high ratio snow for most, and will be fairly easy to move. A clipper to watch late week High pressure takes over for Wednesday and Thursday, giving the region a break. A weak disturbance may bring snow showers to the western mountains Thursday. A clipper system moves into southern area Friday afternoon, and will bring the next chance for snow into Saturday morning. High pressure then returns for the weekend. After a long period of below normal temperatures, that trend appears to change heading into next week. Guidance is in agreement for a potential rain event statewide early next week. Time will tell if that will stay that way. ► ► For the latest official forecasts, bulletins and advisories, please check in with the National Weather Service in Gray for western and southern areas, or Caribou for northern and eastern parts of Maine. Please #mPING Today! Maine needs mPing support from residents to better assist weather forecasters during storms. It's simple, easy, anonymous, and a totally free way to report weather conditions ► http://mping.nssl.noaa.gov Thank you for your assistance! Please support Pine Tree Weather on Giving Tuesday! ► ► $610 shortfall for the year ahead! You can help keep Pine Tree Weather going with a donation of any amount now through VENMO @PineTreeWeather, a monthly donation on Patreon or messaging me on Facebook or Twitter to send a check in the mail. Thank you for your support!
For more information from me, please check the Pine Tree Weather Facebook page as well as my Twitter feed. Always stay weather aware! - Mike |
Mike Haggett
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